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Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames: match prediction on 25 September 2026
Seattle Kraken
Calgary Flames
Prediction for
Slight edge: Seattle Kraken
48%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
48%
1
18%
X
34%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 24 Sep, 02:48- Калгари Флэймз — 5. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Сиэтл Крэкен, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Калгари Флэймз, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 22 games, Сиэтл Крэкен — 10, Калгари Флэймз — 12
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Seattle Kraken
WLWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Calgary Flames
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 32
14Seattle Kraken
0Draw
18Calgary Flames
- 5 NovSeattle Kraken — Calgary Flames2:1
- 31 OctCalgary Flames — Seattle Kraken6:2
- 5 OctSeattle Kraken — Calgary Flames6:1
- 2 OctCalgary Flames — Seattle Kraken1:6
- 21 SepCalgary Flames — Seattle Kraken2:4
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 24 Sep, 02:48Seattle Kraken to win. The Kraken beat the Flames 4:2 at Calgary on 21 September and now host the return at home, where they have won three of the last four meetings. The model expects Seattle to score 3 goals against Calgary's 2.6, and the most likely scoreline is 3:2 at 6%.
Seattle's recent results
Seattle's last five matches brought 2 wins and 3 losses, with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded. They started the current stretch with a 3:5 home defeat to the LA Kings on 14 April, then lost 1:4 away at Vegas and 0:2 away at Colorado. Their form improved in September: a 4:2 home victory over Vancouver on 20 September followed by the 4:2 win at Calgary on 21 September. The away win against Calgary was their first victory in three games.
Calgary's recent results
Calgary have won 3 and lost 2 in their last five matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding 10. They opened the new season with a 4:1 home win over Utah on 13 April, then lost 1:3 at home to Colorado. A 3:1 home victory against the LA Kings on 17 April was followed by a 3:1 home win over Vancouver on 23 September. Their only defeat in the current September window came 2:4 at home to Seattle.
Head-to-head record
Historically the Flames lead 12-10 across 22 matches, but the trend has shifted in Seattle's favour recently.
Model expectations
The statistical model projects 3 goals for Seattle and 2.6 for Calgary. It assigns an 18% probability to a draw and 89% to both teams scoring. The chance of three or more goals in the match stands at 92%. The three most likely scorelines are 3:2 at 6%, 2:2 at 6%, and 3:3 at 5%. These figures support a Seattle win but also flag the draw as a real possibility if Calgary can control the tempo.
What would change the outcome
If the Flames can limit Seattle to one or two goals and score themselves, the match heads to overtime where the result becomes unpredictable. An early goal for Calgary would force Seattle to open up, potentially creating space for a comeback.