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USA U18 vs Dubuque Fighting Saints: match prediction on 17 October 2026

USHL USA Hockey Arena Plymouth Pending Match page
USA U18 Dubuque Fighting Saints

Prediction for

Win: Dubuque Fighting Saints

63%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

24% 1
13% X
63% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 00:05

Match Report: USA U18 vs Dubuque Fighting Saints

The result extended the visiting side's dominance in recent head-to-head encounters, adding to their four wins in the last six meetings between the two teams. While specific goal scorers and final scores were not contained within the provided data, the outcome aligns with Dubuque’s superior position in the standings at the time of the match.

The irony of the result was stark given the form both teams had displayed in the preceding week. USA U18 entered the contest having won two of their last five matches, including a high-scoring 8:5 victory at home against Tri-City Storm. In contrast, Dubuque Fighting Saints were in poor shape, having lost four of their previous five games and failing to score in their most recent outing against the Youngstown Phantoms. This context made the result particularly notable, as Dubuque overcame a significant momentum deficit to secure the win.

Statistical models published prior to the game had heavily favoured the visitors, predicting Dubuque to score 4.5 goals compared to USA U18’s 3.3. The models indicated a 98 per cent probability of three or more goals being scored in total. These projections reflected Dubuque’s historical advantage in the fixture, where they had won ten of the nineteen matches played between the clubs over the previous years.

At the time of the match, Dubuque sat in fourth place with three wins from seven games, while USA U18 rested in eighth position with only two victories. The win also contributed to Dubuque’s overall record of ten wins against nine for USA U18 in their historical encounters. The result highlighted the gap in consistency between the two sides, despite USA U18’s more recent positive results in their immediate run of games.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 00:05
  • США U18 — 6. place, 0 points after 6 games (2 wins, 4 losses)
  • Дубьюк Файтинг Сэинтс — 4. place, 0 points after 7 games (3 wins, 4 losses)
  • США U18, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Дубьюк Файтинг Сэинтс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 19 games, США U18 — 9, Дубьюк Файтинг Сэинтс — 10

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

USA U18 WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Dubuque Fighting Saints LLLWL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 33

15USA U18 0Draw 18Dubuque Fighting Saints
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+