Kozuv Gevgelija drew 2:2 with Belasica on Saturday in the fourth round of the Second League. The result keeps the hosts in tenth place with four points from four matches, while Belasica move to fourth with eight points. Neither side gained ground they needed, and both walks away with something to ponder.
Our prediction called for a Belasica victory at 37 per cent confidence. The match had other ideas. What changed it was the home side's refusal to let the visitors settle into their rhythm — something that usually happens when a team underestimates a local derby, and something Kozuv appeared to have learned from their heavier defeats.
Belasica carried form into this fixture. They had won three consecutive matches before the draw, keeping clean sheets on the spin. That run came to an end against a side that had suffered a 5:1 hammering by Ohrid just days earlier. The contrast between expectation and reality was stark.
Kozuv's recent results tell a story of volatility. After a 2:0 win over Shkupi 1927, they lost three in a row — including the heavy defeat to Ohrid and losses to Rabotnicki and Detonit Plachkovitsa. Saturday's result suggests they may have found a way to channel that frustration into something more structured.
The table position tells a simple story. Belasica sit fourth, four points clear of the teams around them. Kozuv remain in the lower half, still searching for consistency. This draw gives both sides a chance to reset before the next round.