I Liga
Anilana Lodz
KS Warszawianka
Prediction for Anilana Lodz — KS Warszawianka
80%
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Aviron Bayonnais vs Cheetahs: match prediction on 18 October 2026
Aviron Bayonnais
Cheetahs
Prediction for
Win: Aviron Bayonnais
72%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
72%
1
28%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 16 Oct, 13:05- Баяннэ, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Гепарды, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Aviron Bayonnais
WWWLW
4 wins · 1 loss
Cheetahs
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Oct, 13:05Aviron Bayonnais defeated the Cheetahs in their Challenge Cup opener on 18 October 2026. The hosts secured victory in front of their own supporters, ending a competitive opening round where both sides entered with identical recent records of three wins and two defeats in their respective domestic competitions.
Aviron Bayonnais scored 163 points across their last five Top 14 fixtures, while the Cheetahs managed 176 points in five Currie Cup games.
Both teams arrived at this fixture having played five matches in their domestic leagues. Bayonnais had secured nine points from those games, including victories against Stade Français and Clermont. The Cheetahs also accumulated nine points, with wins over Boland Cavaliers, the Bulls, and the Stormers before losing their last two meetings against the Pumas.
A model predicted Bayonnais would score 41.2 goals to the Cheetahs' 22.5. The model also indicated a near-zero probability for a draw or for both teams to score.
With both teams starting the Challenge Cup at zero points and zero matches played, this victory shifted the initial standings. Aviron Bayonnais moved into third place in the preliminary rankings, while the Cheetahs remained in fourth, reflecting the early hierarchy established by this result.