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Aviron Bayonnais vs Clermont: match prediction on 19 September 2026
Aviron Bayonnais
Clermont
Prediction for
Win: Aviron Bayonnais
62%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
62%
1
38%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 15:39- Байонна — 11. place, 4 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Клермон — 7. place, 5 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Байонна, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Клермон, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Байонна — 6, Клермон — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Aviron Bayonnais
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Clermont
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 11
7Aviron Bayonnais
0Draw
4Clermont
- 28 FebClermont — Aviron Bayonnais38:15
- 18 Oct 2025Aviron Bayonnais — Clermont44:17
- 13 Jun 2025Aviron Bayonnais — Clermont20:3
- 2 Mar 2025Aviron Bayonnais — Clermont31:18
- 21 Sep 2024Clermont — Aviron Bayonnais26:10
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 15:39Aviron Bayonnais defeated Clermont in the Top 14. The match took place on 19 September 2026, with the hosts securing the victory to move closer to their opponents in the standings. Both sides entered the fixture with identical records of one win and one loss, though Clermont held a single point advantage at seventh place while Bayonnais sat in eleventh.
The result adds to a long-standing pattern of superiority for the home side in this fixture. Over the last six encounters in the Top 14, Aviron Bayonnais have won four times, with Clermont securing two victories. The most recent meeting between the two clubs occurred in February 2026, where Clermont won 38-15 in their own stadium, but Bayonnais have since reversed that form at home.
Bayonnais had taken a heavy 70-28 defeat away to Section Paloise in their previous outing, while Clermont had responded to a loss against Lyon with a 25-16 home win over Stade Français Paris. Both sides had played five matches in their recent window with two wins and three losses.
The victory changes the table slightly. Bayonnais now move within touching distance of Clermont, who remain on five points after two matchdays. The match concluded the early stage of the season.