Cup
Prediction for Spišská Nová Ves — Podbrezová
96%
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Chambery
Prediction for
Win: Chambery
81%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 7
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 17:08Chambery's home dominance sets up comfortable win
I'm backing Chambery to win this encounter. The model projects 27 goals for the home side against 17 for Périgourdin.
Chambery have won three of their last five matches, scoring 157 goals while conceding 123. Their two defeats came away from home—28:35 against Rennes and 19:25 versus Nissa—but they've been dominant on their own court. The 42:26 victory over Suresnes and the 34:13 dismantling of Périgourdin on 2 May both demonstrate the kind of output expected here.
Périgourdin's record is less convincing. Two wins from five games, 97 goals scored against 128 conceded. Their victories came against Albi (19:17) and Olympique Marcquois (33:7), while the defeats include a heavy 12:45 loss at Narbonne and the 13:34 hammering away at Chambery in May.
Over seven meetings, Chambery have won four and Périgourdin three. The most recent encounter on 2 May ended 34:13 to the home side, and prior visits to Chambéry's venue have been similarly one-sided. The 28:7 scoreline in January 2025 and the 35:14 result in October 2025 show how decisively the home side can control this fixture.
Their defensive record (128 conceded in five matches) suggests they'll struggle to contain Chambery's attack, which averaged over 31 goals per game in their last five outings.
Périgourdin find a way to neutralise Chambery's early pressure. The home side have shown they can score freely, but if the visitors manage to slow the tempo and limit transitions, the gap narrows considerably.