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Heidelberg vs Neuenheim: match prediction on 19 September 2026

1. Bundesliga Sportgelände an der Speyererstraße Heidelberg Hit Match page
Heidelberg Neuenheim

Prediction for

Win: Neuenheim

78%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

22% 1
78% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 16:02

Neuenheim to win. The projection stands at 37.6 to 24.3.

Both sides have taken two wins and three defeats from their last five matches. Heidelberg have three points from 84 goals scored and 207 conceded. Neuenheim gathered 6 points from 163 goals for and 188 against. The visitors' defensive record is tighter, and their two victories came against weaker opposition — Germania List 47:10 and Luxemburg 77:24. Heidelberg's lone win also came against Neuenheim.

Neuenheim won four of the six meetings since April 2025. The 0:179 result on 26 April 2025 and the 26:70 defeat on 6 September 2025 show the scale of the disparity. Heidelberg's two wins — 43:24 at home on 5 September and 34:14 away on 18 April — were both comfortable margins. Recency carries little weight.

There are no league tables for these fixtures. League tables mean nothing here; recent meetings dictate the fixture. Heidelberg's 3 points and Neuenheim's 6 points from five matches each tell a story, but without context of how many teams are in the division or how the season is structured, those numbers sit in isolation.

The model projects 24.3 goals for Heidelberg and 37.6 for Neuenheim. The draw probability sits at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and three or more goals for either side at 0%. These figures reflect the model's calculation from goals scored and conceded over many simulated versions of the match. The figures ignore the 43:24 result on 5 September and Heidelberg’s unbeaten home record against Neuenheim.

A Heidelberg win stops this conclusion holding. The hosts have beaten Neuenheim twice at home in the recorded period, and the 43:24 victory shows they can match the visitors' tempo. If the match follows that pattern — Heidelberg pressing high up the pitch and finding a way back into it — the model's projection collapses.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 16:02
  • Гейдельберг, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Нойнхайм, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 14 games, Гейдельберг — 2, Нойнхайм — 12

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Heidelberg LWWLW 3 wins · 2 losses
Neuenheim WWLWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 19

3Heidelberg 0Draw 16Neuenheim
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+