I Liga
Anilana Lodz
KS Warszawianka
Prediction for Anilana Lodz — KS Warszawianka
80%
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Lelo Tbilisi vs Tsikara: match prediction on 2 October 2026
Lelo Tbilisi
Tsikara
Prediction for
Win: Lelo Tbilisi
68%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
68%
1
32%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 30 Sep, 15:10- Лело Тбилиси — 4. place, 4 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Цикара — 5. place, 4 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Лело Тбилиси, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Цикара, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Лело Тбилиси — 2, Цикара — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Lelo Tbilisi
WLWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Tsikara
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 2
2Lelo Tbilisi
0Draw
0Tsikara
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 30 Sep, 15:10Lelo Tbilisi to win. The model expects them to outscore Tsikara 25.1 to 20.2, and the historical record backs that up — Lelo have won both previous meetings, including a 38-35 victory away from home earlier this year.
Tsikara's opening day came with a narrow 17-16 win over AIA Kutaisi on the road, but that was their only victory in five matches. They lost to Chwamli Tbilisi at home 12-32, then suffered heavy defeats away to AIA Kutaisi 21-41 and Kharebi Rustavi 29-41, plus the 35-38 loss to Lelo Tbilisi at home. They have scored 114 points and conceded 168 across those five games.
Lelo Tbilisi's recent form is stronger. Three wins and two losses in their last five matches, with 121 goals scored and 108 conceded. Their most recent outing was a 31-19 home win against Chwamli Tbilisi on 27 September. They also beat Ares Kutaisi 32-27 at home in March, while the losses came away to Kharebi Rustavi 3-7 and Chwamli Tbilisi 17-20.
The head-to-head record runs two games to Lelo Tbilisi. They won 32-29 at home on 26 October 2025 and 38-35 away on 28 February 2026. Both matches were high-scoring affairs in the Didi 10, with Lelo winning each by a margin of three points. Tsikara have not beaten them in either meeting.
Both sides sit on four points after one match each in the current Didi 10 season. Lelo Tbilisi are fourth, Tsikara fifth. The gap between them is minimal in the table, but the recent form and head-to-head history point toward Lelo Tbilisi having the edge on Saturday.
The model projects Lelo Tbilisi to score 25.1 points and Tsikara 20.2. That 4.9-point gap aligns with the historical pattern — Lelo have won both previous encounters by narrow margins of three points each. The expected output suggests a Lelo Tbilisi victory.
There is a 70% probability of a Lelo victory. This conclusion stops holding if Tsikara replicate the defensive performance they showed against AIA Kutaisi, where they limited the opposition to just one point difference. A tight, low-scoring game would suit the visitors, who have shown they can keep matches close.