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Newcastle Red Bulls vs Leicester Tigers: match prediction on 3 October 2026

Premiership Rugby Kingston Park Newcastle upon Tyne Hit Match page
Newcastle Red Bulls Leicester Tigers

Prediction for

Win: Leicester Tigers

68%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

32% 1
68% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 19:50

Leicester Tigers defeat Newcastle Red Bulls at Morningside Park

Newcastle Red Bulls were predicted to score 25.4 points, while Leicester Tigers were expected to score 32.9.

Leicester Tigers have now won four of the last five meetings between these two sides. Newcastle Red Bulls’ last win against Leicester came in the Premiership Rugby Cup on 12 September 2026.

The victory leaves Leicester Tigers level on points with several mid-table sides, but ahead of Newcastle Red Bulls on match difference. Newcastle Red Bulls’ defeat extends their winless run to three matches, raising questions about their ability to compete at the top level of the Premiership Rugby. With only one point from three games, the hosts face a difficult run of fixtures ahead if they are to climb out of the bottom half of the table.

Leicester Tigers’ win provides a platform for improvement after their heavy defeat to Saracens in their opening game. The performance showed signs of maturity in managing the game state, particularly after going behind in the second half. If they can replicate this level of defensive organisation against stronger opposition, they will be confident of moving up the table in the coming weeks.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 19:50
  • Ньюкасл Ред Буллз — 8. place, 1 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
  • Лестер Тайгерс — 6. place, 2 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
  • Ньюкасл Ред Буллз, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Лестер Тайгерс, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Head-to-head: 5 games, Ньюкасл Ред Буллз — 1, Лестер Тайгерс — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Newcastle Red Bulls WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses
Leicester Tigers LLWWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 5

1Newcastle Red Bulls 0Draw 4Leicester Tigers
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+