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Olympique Marcquois vs Carcassonne: match prediction on 11 September 2026

Nationale Stadium Lille Métropole Villeneuve-d'Ascq Hit Match page
Olympique Marcquois Carcassonne

Prediction for

Win: Carcassonne

95%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

5% 1
95% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 19:00

Carcassonne Victory

Carcassonne hammered Olympique Marcquois 54-8 in the Nationale on 11 September 2026. While the exact figures were not replicated, the outcome proved the form guide right.

Carcassonne arrived with momentum from the previous season, having competed in Pro D2, while Olympique Marcquois had spent the campaign in the Nationale. The visitors' form over their last five matches showed three wins against two defeats, accumulating 139 points for and 116 against. In contrast, Olympique Marcquois had lost all five of their recent matches, scoring 89 points while conceding 170, including a heavy 28:59 loss to Massy earlier in the year.

Historical Context and Head-to-Head Record

The final result continued a pattern of competitive results between these two teams. In their last two encounters, the sides split the victories: Carcassonne won 40:6 at home in February 2025, while Olympique Marcquois secured a 34:30 victory at their own ground in October 2024. The current fixture concluded the preliminary phase of the 2026–27 season for Olympique Marcquois, who had not recorded a win since April, whereas Carcassonne had secured back-to-back victories in the Nationale against Rouen and Bressane in September.

Carcassonne were flying; Marcquois were floundering. The 46-point margin confirmed the gulf. Marcquois had not won since April.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 19:00
  • Олимпик Марккуа, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Каркасон, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Олимпик Марккуа — 1, Каркасон — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Olympique Marcquois LLLLL 5 losses
Carcassonne LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 2

1Olympique Marcquois 0Draw 1Carcassonne
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+