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Skanderborg AGF
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Pontypridd vs Neath: match prediction on 26 September 2026
Pontypridd
Neath
Prediction for
Win: Pontypridd
68%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
75%
1
25%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 24 Sep, 14:41- Понтипридд, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Нит, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Понтипридд — 5, Нит — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Pontypridd
WWWWW
5 wins
Neath
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 6
5Pontypridd
0Draw
1Neath
- 7 MarPontypridd — Neath47:35
- 1 Nov 2025Neath — Pontypridd26:20
- 30 Apr 2025Pontypridd — Neath34:33
- 30 Nov 2024Neath — Pontypridd19:24
- 13 Jan 2024Pontypridd — Neath48:12
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 24 Sep, 14:41Neath secured their only win against Pontypridd in that period with a 26-20 home victory in November 2025.
Current Form Analysis
Pontypridd entered the match on a perfect run, having won all five of their prior fixtures. Their recent record included victories against Llangennech, Bedwas, Newbridge, Brecon, and Merthyr, with a cumulative scoring margin of 151 points for against 108 against. Neath, by comparison, had experienced mixed results in their last five matches, securing two wins against three defeats.
Neath's recent form saw them beat Beddau 34-33 at home and Llanelli Wanderers 40-28 on home soil, while falling to Cross Keys, Ystrad Rhondda, and Llangennech. Their scoring record in those five games stood at 149 points for and 167 against.
Head-to-Head Context
The historical record heavily favoured the hosts. In six matches played between the sides in recent years, Pontypridd claimed five victories while Neath managed only one success. This pattern was evident across both venues, with Pontypridd winning at home in March 2026 and Neath securing a rare triumph away from home in November 2025.
The previous meeting in March 2026 saw Pontypridd score 47 points to Neath's 35 in a high-scoring affair.
Match Outcome Significance
The competition name appears as Premiership Rugby in the data, though Pontypridd and Neath are Welsh clubs that typically contest the Welsh Premiership (WRU). The match kicked off at 13:30 UTC on 26 September 2026, with neither venue details, weather conditions, nor referee information provided in the supplied statistics.