Fenerbahce Women vs Manisa BB Women: match prediction on 4 October 2026

Fenerbahce Women are the clear favourites against Manisa BB Women, and the model places their win at 72%. The expectation is for Fenerbahce to score 6 goals while Manisa manage just 0.5, which leaves no room for a draw or for both sides to find the net.

Fenerbahce Women have won 2 of their last 5 matches, losing 3, with 8 goals scored and 12 conceded across that run. Their recent fixtures have included multiple meetings with VakifBank Spor Kulübü Women, with results of 1:3 away, 3:2 at home, 1:3 away, 3:1 away and 0:3 at home. The pattern shows they can score but also leak goals, averaging 1.6 per game in both directions.

Manisa BB Women Women have managed 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 outings, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Their matches have come against Kuzeyboru Gençlik Spor Women, THY Women, Goztepe Women in a friendly, Ankara PTT Women and Afyon Bld. Yuntas Women. The defensive record is concerning, with 2.6 goals conceded per match on average.

The model's figures are stark: 6 goals for Fenerbahce, 0.5 for Manisa. The probability of a draw is listed at 0%, both teams scoring at 0%, and 3 or more goals at 0%.

This conclusion stops holding if Manisa can impose themselves early and score first. A quick goal would change the dynamic entirely, forcing Fenerbahce to chase the game and potentially opening space for the visitors. The model assumes Fenerbahce control proceedings, but an early setback could disrupt that structure and give Manisa a platform to compete.