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North Macedonia vs Portugal: match prediction on 15 September 2026
North Macedonia
Portugal
Prediction for
Win: North Macedonia
68%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
68%
1
32%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:13- Северная Македония — 6. place, 0 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
- Португалия — 5. place, 1 points after 4 games (0 wins, 4 losses)
- Северная Македония, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Португалия, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
North Macedonia
LWLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Portugal
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:13North Macedonia are the favourites to win this CEV European Championship fixture. The model projects 1.5 sets to 1.2, and the draw probability sits at zero.
North Macedonia have won two and lost three of their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 0:3 defeat at home to Poland on 13 September, but before that they beat Ukraine 3:0 at home. Portugal have lost all four of their Championship matches so far. Their last five results include one victory — a 3:0 win away at Bulgaria on 11 September — but the other four were defeats. Their most recent match was a 0:3 loss to Ukraine on 14 September, followed by a 2:3 home defeat to Israel. They have not built any momentum.
North Macedonia sit second in the table with six points from four matches, having won two and lost two. Portugal are fifth with a single point from four matches, having lost every game. The gap between them is five points.
The expected output for North Macedonia is 1.5, for Portugal 1.2. The probability of a draw is 0%. The model expects a clean sweep.
A draw would break this prediction, and given the model's 0% figure for that outcome, it would require something unexpected to happen. Portugal have lost every Championship match, but they did beat Bulgaria 3:0 away in their last five, so they are not without capacity to produce a result.