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Yaroslavl vs Kemerovo: match prediction on 26 September 2026

Russian Cup Main Arena of the Volleyball Center Yaroslavl Miss Match page
Yaroslavl Kemerovo

Prediction for

Win: Kemerovo

67%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

33% 1
67% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 12:00

Kemerovo claimed victory over Yaroslavl in the Russian Cup on Saturday, extending their unbeaten start to the tournament while worsening the hosts' winless run. The result placed Kemerovo top of the table on eight points after four matches, with Yaroslavl remaining in fourth place on one point following three defeats.

Match Outcome and Form

Before the match, the teams met on 10 September 2026, with Kemerovo winning 3-2 away from home. Head-to-head records showed Kemerovo had won all four previous meetings between the sides since November 2025. Yaroslavl entered the fixture having lost their last five games across all competitions, scoring five goals and conceding fifteen, while Kemerovo had won three of their last five outings.

Statistical Context

A pre-match model predicted goals for both sides, estimating 1.4 for Yaroslavl and 2.1 for Kemerovo, with a 0% probability assigned to a draw or both teams scoring. The service that picked the result predicted a Kemerovo win with 67% confidence.

Standings Impact

The outcome confirmed Kemerovo's position as table leaders. They moved to three wins from four games. Yaroslavl's fourth-place standing remained unchanged, having failed to secure a point from three matches.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 12:00
  • Ярославль — 4. place, 1 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
  • Кемерово — 1. place, 8 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
  • Ярославль, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Кемерово, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Ярославль — 0, Кемерово — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Yaroslavl WLWLW 3 wins · 2 losses
Kemerovo WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 4

0Yaroslavl 0Draw 4Kemerovo
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+