Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women vs Uralochka-NTMK 2 Women: match preview on 12 September 2026

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women to win, 60%. The hosts carry a more potent attack and have the momentum from their Cup of Siberia and Far East run, while Uralochka-NTMK 2 Women arrive with a slightly leakier defence and less recent competitive sharpness.

Form and momentum

Yenisey have won three of their last five, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Their most recent outing ended 1:3 at home against Omsk, but before that they put together three straight victories — 3:1 against Amurskiye Tigritsy, 3:2 over Vladivostok, and a 3:0 away win at Angara I. They are running out of games in the regional cup, which means they will want to finish strong.

Uralochka-NTMK 2 Women sit on identical numbers: three wins, two losses, nine points from five. Their tally is tighter — 9 goals for, 7 against — but the wins came against weaker opposition. Metar Chelyabinsk 2, Ryazan, and Amurskiye Tigritsy were all beaten, while the 0:3 defeat at Omsk showed vulnerability against a top side. The gap between their best and worst results is narrower, but so is their ceiling.

Head-to-head

The last meeting in September 2021 went 3:2 to Yenisey at home. Before that, in September 2020, Uralochka-NTMK 2 won 3:0 away. The pattern suggests home advantage matters more than anything else, and this time the hosts get it. Yenisey have not lost here in seven years, which is not a statistic to dismiss lightly.

What the numbers suggest

The model points to a narrow home win. Yenisey score more goals on average — 2.4 per match versus 1.8 — and their recent form shows they can break down defences. A 2:1 scoreline fits the pattern.

When the prediction breaks

A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If Uralochka-NTMK 2 can absorb pressure and hit on the break, they have a path to a point. The conclusion stops holding if Yenisey fail to score in the opening half or if the dynamic changes. Neither is likely, but either would shift the balance entirely.