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Abra Weavers vs Ilagan Isabela Cowboys: match prediction on 3 September 2026

MPBL Gov. Andres Bernos Memorial Gymnasium Bangued Hit Match page
Abra Weavers Ilagan Isabela Cowboys

Prediction for

Win: Abra Weavers

67%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

67% 1
33% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 1 Sep, 10:02

Abra Weavers win this encounter. Their 15 wins from 16 matches leave them unbeaten for the season, and the model places their expected points at 88.8 against 70.4 for Ilagan Isabela Cowboys. The visitors have lost three of their last five and face a side that has swept all three previous meetings between them.

Abra Weavers have shown consistency outside their single defeat, a 70-74 loss to Cebu Greats at home on 31 August. Their recent form includes four wins from five matches, carrying 12 points in their tally with a scoring average of 87.8 points per game across that span.

Ilagan Isabela Cowboys have found less rhythm. They lost 72-77 away at Rizal Golden Coolers, dropped 52-80 to Cebu Greats at home, then won 80-73 against Meycauayan and 101-89 versus Negros Hacienderos before a 69-90 defeat away at Binan Tatak Gel. Two wins from five leaves them with six points in that window, and their scoring average of 74.8 points per game shows they are not keeping pace with the league's top side.

The three previous meetings all went to Abra Weavers. They won 73-69 away at Ilagan on 18 October 2025, then 98-58 and 76-59 at home in October and August respectively.

The table confirms what the record shows. Abra Weavers sit first with 15 wins and one loss from 16 matches. Ilagan Isabela Cowboys are fourth with 12 wins and six losses from 18 matches.

The model expects 88.8 points for Abra Weavers and 70.4 for the visitors. The draw probability is listed at 0%, and both teams scoring is also 0%. The expected output points to a comfortable home victory rather than a tight contest.

Ilagan would need to improve dramatically from their recent form, particularly in defence where they have conceded heavily in three of their last five games, to keep it close. A blowout beyond 20 points is also possible given the head-to-head pattern, though the model does not specify a margin.

Confidence: 78%

Reasoning

Based on data as of 1 Sep, 10:02
  • Абра Уиверс — 1. place, 0 points after 16 games (15 wins, 1 losses)
  • Илаган Исабела Каубоys — 4. place, 0 points after 18 games (12 wins, 6 losses)
  • Абра Уиверс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Илаган Исабела Каубоys, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Абра Уиверс — 3, Илаган Исабела Каубоys — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Abra Weavers WWLWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 3

3Abra Weavers 0Draw 0Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+