Alvik 2 Women vs Blackeberg Women: match prediction on 19 September 2026

Alvik win (95% confidence)

The model points to Alvik Women taking this match, and the numbers behind it are stark. The home side is expected to score 306 to 17. A gap of that magnitude does not leave room for doubt about the direction of this fixture.

Alvik have lost their last five, scoring 296 and conceding 411. The most recent result was a 73:85 defeat to Lund at home on 21 March, and before that came a 42:74 loss away to Uppsala.

Blackeberg have been more competitive but still find themselves on the losing side more often than not. Their last five matches yielded two wins and three defeats, giving them six points. They beat Tureberg 75:58 away on 7 March and Viby 82:66 away on 22 February, but also suffered heavy setbacks, including a 67:97 loss to Fryshuset Basket on 21 March.

The model projects 306 to 17. The probability of a draw is listed at 0%, and the chance of a three-pointer from either side is listed at 0%. That structure points to a one-sided affair.

Alvik's recent results show they are capable of putting up a scoreline. Their 93:63 win over Brahe away on 7 February and their 85:67 victory against Malbas Malmö at home on 31 January demonstrate they can reach high totals when opposition is weaker. Blackeberg, meanwhile, have struggled defensively — they conceded 97 points in one game and 87 in another during this period.

Blackeberg can only pull this off if they control the tempo. The visitors have shown they can win games, beating Viby and Tureberg on the road, and they have the capacity to score points — they averaged 72.2 points per game across five matches. If they keep Alvik below 300 and push into the 80-point range, the model's projection collapses. A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat.

The match is scheduled for 19 September 2026 at 11:30 UTC. Alvik compete in the Basketligan der Frauen, the higher division, while Blackeberg play in Basketettan, the second tier. A fixture between teams from different divisions is unusual and may indicate a cup competition or friendly, though this could not be confirmed from available sources.