Benfica Lisbon Women vs Saarlouis Royals Women: match prediction on 13 October 2026

Benfica Lisbon Women are expected to win this EuroCup Women's fixture against Saarlouis Royals Women. The Portuguese side has won four of their last five games and outscored their opponents by nearly 100 points across those matches, while the German visitors have taken only three wins from five outings. The model projects Benfica to score 99.1 points and Saarlouis 49.2, a gap that reflects the disparity in recent form and offensive output.

Benfica's recent results show consistency in victories. They beat Sanjoanense 97:50 at home on 10 October, won 75:63 away at Sporting CP on 4 October, and defeated GDESSA Barreiro 73:31 in the Super Cup on 27 September. Their only defeat came against Quinta Dos Lombos 59:73 at home on 10 May. They have scored 381 points while conceding 284, an average margin of 19.4 points per game.

Saarlouis Royals have been less uniform. They beat Freiburg 70:59 at home on 11 October and BBC Genève 77:56 at home on 1 October, but lost away to Osnabrück 63:65 on 4 October and at home to Marburg 63:68 on 6 April. They also won away at BBC Genève 109:75 on 24 September. Their scoring of 382 points against 323 conceded gives an average margin of 11.8 points.

The match takes place at Benfica's home venue on 13 October at 20:00 UTC.

The model's expectation of 99.1 points for Benfica and 49.2 for Saarlouis suggests a one-sided contest. The probability of a draw is listed as 0%, and the chance of both teams scoring is also 0%. Three or more scoring differences are projected at 0%. Benfica's offensive output in recent matches—scoring 97, 75, 73, 77, and 59 points—supports the higher projection.

This conclusion would change if Saarlouis can replicate their 109-point away performance against BBC Genève while holding Benfica below 70 points. That scenario would require a dramatic shift in tempo and efficiency from both sides. Benfica's defensive record of 284 points conceded in five games suggests they are capable of limiting opponents, but a single outlier performance could alter the outcome.