Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
Read more
CD Puerto Varas vs Universidad Catolica: match prediction on 8 September 2026
CD Puerto Varas
Universidad Catolica
Prediction for
Win: CD Puerto Varas
63%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
63%
1
37%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 01:42- КД Пуэрто-Варас — 3. place, 0 points after 12 games (7 wins, 5 losses)
- Универсидад Католика — 6. place, 0 points after 12 games (2 wins, 10 losses)
- КД Пуэрто-Варас, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Универсидад Католика, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, КД Пуэрто-Варас — 5, Универсидад Католика — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
CD Puerto Varas
LLWWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Universidad Catolica
LLLLL
5 losses
Head to head 9
6CD Puerto Varas
0Draw
3Universidad Catolica
- 4 SepUniversidad Catolica — CD Puerto Varas62:83
- 16 Mar 2025CD Puerto Varas — Universidad Catolica67:49
- 9 Mar 2025Universidad Catolica — CD Puerto Varas47:98
- 17 Mar 2024CD Puerto Varas — Universidad Catolica81:69
- 8 Mar 2024Universidad Catolica — CD Puerto Varas72:68
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 01:42CD Puerto Varas win. Universidad Católica have lost five straight matches, including the most recent head-to-head by 21 points, while Puerto Varas have won three of their last five.
CD Puerto Varas sit on 7 wins and 5 losses after 12 matches, a record that puts them in the upper half of the table. Their last five games brought 9 points from 3 victories and 2 defeats — 431 points for, 390 against. The away win at Universidad Católica on 4 September was 83-62, a result that followed a home victory over Naviera Ulloa 102-67 and a defeat to Ancud 82-86. Universidad Católica, by contrast, have not tasted victory in five matches, losing 333 points to 408 in that span. All five came at home except one away defeat to Leones Quilpue 74-87.
CD Puerto Varas have won 5 of 7 meetings since 2023, with Universidad Católica taking just 2. Before that, they won 67-49 at home in March 2025 and 98-47 away in the same month. The only two wins for Universidad Católica came in 2024 and 2023, both away from their home court.
In the standings, CD Puerto Varas occupy third place while Universidad Católica languish in sixth. Puerto Varas hold a 13-point defensive advantage per game. Puerto Varas average 64.1% field goal percentage compared to 66.6% for Universidad Católica, but the latter's defence has been porous, conceding 81.6 points per game on average over their last 10 matches.
The model projects 81.4 points for CD Puerto Varas and 68.5 for Universidad Católica. The margin of victory is expected to be around 13 points, consistent with the 21-point win in the most recent meeting.
A Tuesday win for Católica breaks the model. A win would not change the overall picture, but it would signal that something has shifted. CD Puerto Varas have shown vulnerability on the road — they lost to Valdivia 69-96 and Ancud 82-86 — and if they repeat that pattern, the margin shrinks considerably.