Dynamo Vladivostok vs CSKA Moscow: match prediction on 14 October 2026

CSKA Moscow are the clear favourites and I back them to win comfortably. The gap in class and form is too wide to ignore, and the model's expectation of 141.6 points against 50.6 for Dynamo Vladivostok leaves little room for doubt. I am 85% confident.

CSKA Moscow have looked sharp. Four wins from five matches, conceding only 379 points in total while scoring 400. Their home record is particularly strong: victories over Lokomotiv Kuban 87-84 and Uralmash Ekaterinburg 90-85, plus a 79-59 win against Unics Kazan in the Super Cup. The only blemish came away to Parma Perm 62-86 in the WINLINE Basket Cup, but that was an away fixture in a different competition.

Dynamo Vladivostok have struggled. Two wins from five, with 6 points and a goal difference of -57. They beat Samara 98-84 away and Ufa 78-66 away, but lost heavily to Unics Kazan 75-117 and University-Ugra 77-98 at home. Dynamo conceded 454 points in five games, an average of 90.8 per match.

The model assigns a 0% probability to a draw, and the likelihood of both teams scoring is also listed at 0%. The expected points figure of 141.6 for CSKA suggests they will dominate possession and create numerous opportunities. Dynamo's 50.6 points expectation indicates they may struggle to find the back of the net consistently.

CSKA's Azzi is reported as hurt in a friendly against Nizhny Novgorod, but there is no confirmation this affects his availability for this fixture. If he is available, CSKA's depth gives them another advantage. Dynamo have no reported injuries to mention.

A draw would suit the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. But the model's figures and the recent form suggest CSKA will control the tempo and see out the result. The confidence drops if Azzi is ruled out, as that removes a key offensive option for the visitors.