Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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El Calor de Cancun vs Panteras: match prediction on 11 September 2026
El Calor de Cancun
Panteras
Prediction for
Win: Panteras
54%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
46%
1
54%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 02:22- Эль Калор де Канкун, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Пантерас, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Эль Калор де Канкун — 4, Пантерас — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
El Calor de Cancun
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
Panteras
WLWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 4
4El Calor de Cancun
0Draw
0Panteras
- 9 Aug 2025El Calor de Cancun — Panteras96:93
- 8 Aug 2025El Calor de Cancun — Panteras80:74
- 5 Oct 2024Panteras — El Calor de Cancun61:88
- 4 Oct 2024Panteras — El Calor de Cancun75:77
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 02:22Panteras to win on Thursday. The model projects 86.7 to 82.2, and that gap reflects a side averaging 97.6 points in their last five games against a host side conceding 89.6 per match. El Calor de Cancun have not won a game in 2026, while Panteras have collected 12 points from 12 available in the same span.
Form runs in opposite directions
El Calor de Cancun's last five results are losses: 86-89 away to Soles, 75-102 away to Soles, 79-88 at home against Astros, 50-89 at home against Astros, and 76-80 away to Freseros de Irapuato. They scored 366 points and conceded 448 across those matches. No victories. No draws. Five defeats and zero points in the standings.
Panteras won four of five: 100-88 at home against Correcaminos UAT Victoria, 111-78 at home against Correcaminos UAT Victoria, 95-93 away to Mineros, and 104-88 at home against Santos. The only loss came 78-98 away to Mineros. They scored 488 points and conceded 445. The scoring output is 24 points per game higher than El Calor de Cancun's.
The head-to-head tells a different story
El Calor de Cancun have won all four meetings between the sides. 96-93 at home on 9 August 2025, 80-74 at home on 8 August 2025, 88-61 away on 5 October 2024, and 77-75 away on 4 October 2024. That is a clean sweep across two seasons. The visitors have not taken a point from these fixtures.
The model does not factor in that record. It calculates from goals scored and conceded, not from past pairings. The projection of 86.7 to 82.2 sits against a side that has beaten Panteras four times. The margin is narrow, and that is where the risk lives.
What breaks the prediction
A win for El Calor de Cancun is the condition that ends this conclusion. The home side's historical dominance over Panteras, combined with their own venue, gives them a pathway back into these fixtures. If they replicate any of those four victories, the model's edge disappears. The 4.5-point projection is not a guarantee, and the H2H record is the reason it is not.
The confidence sits at 55%. The recent form points one way, the head-to-head the other. The model follows the numbers, not the history. That is why the figure is not higher.