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70%
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Liege Women vs Lummen BBC Women: match prediction on 16 October 2026
Liege Women
Lummen BBC Women
Prediction for
Win: Liege Women
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
71%
1
29%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05- Льеж Женщины, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Луммен Женс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Льеж Женщины — 9, Луммен Женс — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Liege Women
LLLWW
2 wins · 3 losses
Lummen BBC Women
WLLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 13
13Liege Women
0Draw
0Lummen BBC Women
- 17 JanLiege Women — Lummen BBC Women116:42
- 20 Sep 2025Lummen BBC Women — Liege Women57:74
- 3 Apr 2025Liege Women — Lummen BBC Women72:54
- 22 Feb 2025Lummen BBC Women — Liege Women58:65
- 23 Nov 2024Liege Women — Lummen BBC Women64:49
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05Outcome: Liege Women win by 28 points
The head-to-head record points to a Liege victory. The analysis projects 80 points for Liege against 52.4 for Lummen. That 27.6-point gap translates to a comfortable victory for the hosts.
Liege's recent form tells a story of struggle rather than collapse. They have won one of five matches, losing four, and their points differential of 260:362 shows they have been outscored consistently. The losses have been heavy—50:92 against Kangoeroes Mechelen, 39:96 away to Namur Capitale—but they have also shown they can compete, losing by just five points to Phantoms Women on 3 October.
Lummen BBC Women are in a similar position. One win from five matches, four defeats, and a points difference of 210:346. Their most recent match was a 35:121 loss away to Namur Capitale Women on 2 October. That result alone accounts for 86 of their 346 points conceded across five games. Their only victory came against Charleroi Women, a 20:0 shutout on 29 April.
Liege's dominance in head-to-head makes this predictable. Liege Women have won all six meetings recorded in the database, with margins ranging from 15 points (65:58 in February 2025) to 74 points (116:42 in January 2026).
An 80-point projection for Liege is not unreasonable given their 116-point output against Lummen earlier this year. The 0% draw probability reflects the difference in quality between the sides.