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MBA Moscow vs Parma Perm: match prediction on 13 October 2026

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MBA Moscow Parma Perm

Prediction for

Win: Parma Perm

53%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

47% 1
53% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Oct, 17:05

Parma Perm to win. They have won three of their last five matches while MBA Moscow have lost every one, and the visitors carry a 9-6 advantage across 15 meetings.

MBA Moscow's slide

MBA Moscow have not won a game since April. Their last five outings produced 340 points for and 418 against, an average of 83.6 conceded per match. They lost 87-92 away to Lokomotiv Kuban on 3 October, then 65-82 at home to CSKA Moscow on 27 September. The pattern repeats: 63-74 against Unics Kazan at home on 2 May, followed by 63-83 and 62-87 in consecutive away defeats to the same side. They average 26.5 successful field goals per match but surrender 35.6 rebounds, 15.6 turnovers and 26.6 personal fouls.

Parma Perm's momentum

Parma Perm have won three of their last five, scoring 436 points and conceding 407. They beat Uralmash Ekaterinburg 86-71 away on 10 October, then lost 85-99 to Zenit Petersburg on 7 October. Before that came a 86-62 victory over CSKA Moscow at home on 2 October and a 97-88 win at Unics Kazan on 26 September. Their final outing was an 82-87 home defeat to Lokomotiv Kuban on 3 May. They average 36 successful field goals, 40 rebounds, 14.5 turnovers and 17.5 personal fouls per match.

Head-to-head record

The last four meetings split evenly. MBA Moscow won 78-66 at home on 7 March 2026 and 79-73 away on 25 January. Parma Perm responded with 83-72 at home on 11 January, then 82-70 on 26 October 2025. Earlier that year they won 93-76 on 19 April and 90-86 on 19 March. Across all 15 matches the visitors hold the edge with 9 victories to MBA's 6.

What the numbers say

The prediction has Parma Perm to edge the total at 79 points against MBA Moscow's 78.3. No draw is possible, and neither side is likely to score heavily. A draw suits the visitors, and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. This falls apart if MBA Moscow start shooting better than they have lately or if Parma Perm's turnover rate spikes past 14.5 per game.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Oct, 17:05
  • МБА, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Парма Пермь, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 15 games, МБА — 6, Парма Пермь — 9

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

MBA Moscow LLLLW 1 win · 4 losses
Parma Perm WWLWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 15

6MBA Moscow 0Draw 9Parma Perm
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+