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Piotrcovia Women
Ruch Kalisz Women
Prediction for Piotrcovia Women — Ruch Kalisz Women
62%
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Mega Basket Belgrade vs Zadar KK: match prediction on 11 October 2026
Mega Basket Belgrade
Zadar KK
Prediction for
Win: Mega Basket Belgrade
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
71%
1
29%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 11:05- Мега Баскет Белград, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Задар КК, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Мега Баскет Белград — 6, Задар КК — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Mega Basket Belgrade
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Zadar KK
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 11
7Mega Basket Belgrade
0Draw
4Zadar KK
- 12 Dec 2025Mega Basket Belgrade — Zadar KK90:89
- 14 Nov 2025Zadar KK — Mega Basket Belgrade88:73
- 30 Mar 2025Mega Basket Belgrade — Zadar KK75:74
- 2 Dec 2024Zadar KK — Mega Basket Belgrade65:68
- 6 Feb 2024Zadar KK — Mega Basket Belgrade74:71
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Oct, 11:05Mega Basket Belgrade are expected to win on Sunday, with the model projecting a decisive margin.
The model gives Mega Basket Belgrade 101.9 expected points against Zadar KK's 62.1. A draw probability sits at 0%, and the expected points difference of nearly 40 points suggests a comfortable home victory. The model does not factor in injuries or fixture congestion, but the raw figures point to a one-sided contest.
Zadar have shown steadier form recently, winning three of their last five matches while losing two. Their results include a 79:65 victory at home against Studentski Centar and a 107:69 win away to Skrljevo. Mega Basket Belgrade sit at two wins and three losses from their last five outings, with defeats coming against Partizan Mozzart Bet (59:83), FMP Beograd (95:99 and 77:80), and only victories over Borac Čačak and Split KK.
Head-to-head history favours the hosts. In six meetings since November 2023, Mega Basket Belgrade have won four times and lost twice. The most recent encounter ended 90:89 to Mega at home in December 2025. Zadar's only win in that span came 88:73 at home in November 2025. The pattern suggests the home venue has been decisive in this rivalry.
They average 37.4 rebounds and 12.8 turnovers. Mega Basket Belgrade's corresponding statistics are not available in the database — zero matches are recorded for the Serbian side. That absence of data makes comparison difficult, but the model's expected points remain the primary indicator.