Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Piratas de Bogota vs Caimanes del Llano: match prediction on 4 October 2026
Piratas de Bogota
Caimanes del Llano
Prediction for
Win: Piratas de Bogota
55%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
55%
1
45%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 2 Oct, 22:05- Пиратас де Богота — 4. place, 0 points after 14 games (8 wins, 6 losses)
- Каиманес дель Льяно — 3. place, 0 points after 14 games (8 wins, 6 losses)
- Пиратас де Богота, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Каиманес дель Льяно, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Пиратас де Богота — 4, Каиманес дель Льяно — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Piratas de Bogota
LLWWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Caimanes del Llano
WLWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 7
4Piratas de Bogota
0Draw
3Caimanes del Llano
- 6 OctPiratas de Bogota — Caimanes del Llano63:67
- 13 AprPiratas de Bogota — Caimanes del Llano80:78
- 12 AprPiratas de Bogota — Caimanes del Llano76:81
- 5 Jun 2025Piratas de Bogota — Caimanes del Llano70:60
- 4 Jun 2025Piratas de Bogota — Caimanes del Llano99:82
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Oct, 22:05Piratas de Bogota to win. The model expects 82.7 points from the home side against 79.4 from Caimanes del Llano, and the hosts have dominated this fixture historically, winning 4 of the last 6 meetings. Piratas also hold the advantage of playing at home, where they have won 3 of the 4 matches against Caimanes.
Current form
Piratas are in poor shape, with only 1 victory in their last 5 matches and a combined score of 409:458. Their recent defeats include losses to Motilones del Norte and Toros del Valle. Caimanes are not much better, managing just 2 wins from 5 games with a scoreline of 431:420. Both sides have lost to Paisas and Toros del Valle.
Head-to-head record
Piratas de Bogota have the upper hand in this rivalry. They won 80:78 and 76:81 in April 2026, and 70:60 and 99:82 in June 2025.
Table position
Both teams sit on identical records of 8 wins and 6 losses after 14 matches. Caimanes del Llano occupy 3rd place while Piratas de Bogota are 4th, but the points gap is zero.
The model's view
The simulation gives Piratas 82.7 expected points and Caimanes 79.4. That 3.3-point margin, combined with home advantage and the 4-2 head-to-head edge, points to a home victory.
When the conclusion fails
A win for Piratas is no longer guaranteed if Caimanes replicate their away form against the home side. If they maintain that level of performance while Piratas continue their current slump, the home side could lose.