Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Santos vs Fuerza Regia de Monterrey: match prediction on 12 September 2026
Santos
Fuerza Regia de Monterrey
Prediction for
Win: Fuerza Regia de Monterrey
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
44%
1
56%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 10 Sep, 03:02- Сантос, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Ферса Рея де Монтеррей, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Сантос — 1, Ферса Рея де Монтеррей — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Santos
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Fuerza Regia de Monterrey
WWLWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 7
1Santos
0Draw
6Fuerza Regia de Monterrey
- 11 SepSantos — Fuerza Regia de Monterrey89:101
- 30 Jul 2025Santos — Fuerza Regia de Monterrey82:97
- 29 Jul 2025Santos — Fuerza Regia de Monterrey82:103
- 22 Sep 2024Fuerza Regia de Monterrey — Santos88:67
- 21 Sep 2024Fuerza Regia de Monterrey — Santos90:77
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 10 Sep, 03:02Fuerza Regia de Monterrey to win. The visitors have dominated this fixture for years — five victories in six meetings — and carry a clear edge in form, having won three of their last five compared to Santos' two. The model projects 90.1 to 82.9.
The return leg on 11 September ended 101:89 to Fuerza Regia. Santos won two of five but lost three, including that recent meeting. Fuerza Regia took three of five, with losses coming against Abejas and Lobos Plateados.
Five wins in six meetings backs the model’s 90.1–82.9 projection.
Santos are projected to score 82.9 points, Fuerza Regia 90.1. That 7.2-point gap mirrors the average margin from their last three meetings, which came to 12, 15, and 21 points respectively. Both sides average similar field goal attempts — Santos 65.5, Fuerza Regia 64.9 — but the visitors convert more efficiently, hitting 31.5 successful shots per game compared to Santos' 27.83.
No team news. Expect the usual line-ups. Santos have not found a way to stop Fuerza Regia's attack in recent meetings, and without a key player returning or departing, the dynamic should remain unchanged.
Santos can only win by slowing the tempo or catching Regia flat-footed.