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Terrafirma Dyip vs San Miguel Beermen: match prediction on 14 October 2026

PBA Governors Cup Playtime Filoil Centre San Juan Hit Match page
Terrafirma Dyip San Miguel Beermen

Prediction for

Win: San Miguel Beermen

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

41% 1
59% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 10:25

San Miguel Beermen are projected to win, with the model forecasting 107.3 points to 99.7 in their favour, and the standings tell the same story: the visitors sit top of the PBA Governors Cup after two straight victories while Terrafirma Dyip languish in fifth place with three defeats from four games.

Terrafirma Dyip have won two of their last five matches but lost their most recent outing 92-116 at home to TNT Tropang Giga. Their away record is no better — they beat Macau Black Bears 146-127 on 10 October but have dropped three of four league fixtures. They scored 547 points and conceded 568 across those five games, a deficit of 21 points that sits uneasily against a side that has not lost in the competition yet.

San Miguel Beermen sit 1-0 in the table with nine points from two matches. Their last five contain three wins and two losses, including a 143-113 road victory over Titan Ultra Giant Risers and a 131-79 demolition of Macau Black Bears. They have scored 587 points while allowing 515, an eight-point margin that suggests a side comfortable in control.

The head-to-head record runs 8-2 in San Miguel's favour across ten meetings. In their most recent encounter on 18 July 2026, the visitors edged Terrafirma 109-104. Before that, San Miguel won 126-110 at home in May 2026. Terrafirma's only victory in this span came on 18 May 2025, when they beat the visitors 128-89.

The 7.6-point projected margin places San Miguel as clear favourites. But this assumes Terrafirma's shooting percentage climbs significantly above their recent average or if San Miguel suffer a collapse in the fourth quarter after building an early lead.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 10:25
  • Террафирма Дип — 5. place, 0 points after 4 games (1 wins, 3 losses)
  • Сан-Мигель Бимен — 1. place, 0 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
  • Террафирма Дип, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Сан-Мигель Бимен, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Террафирма Дип — 2, Сан-Мигель Бимен — 8

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Terrafirma Dyip WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
San Miguel Beermen WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 14

3Terrafirma Dyip 0Draw 11San Miguel Beermen
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+