Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Barbados Tridents
St Lucia Kings
Prediction for
Win: Barbados Tridents
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 13
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 00:06Barbados Tridents to win. The model expects them to edge the match, backed by their win in the most recent meeting.
The Tridents sit seventh with 4 points from 6 matches, 2 wins and 4 losses. They have lost their last two games, falling to Trinbago Knight Riders 112:147 at home on 6 September. Before that they lost away to the same side 127:128. Their only win in the last five came against St Lucia Kings, 177:168 away on 16 August. They have scored 758 runs and conceded 818 across those five matches.
St Lucia Kings occupy fourth place with 8 points from 8 matches, 4 wins and 4 losses. They lost badly to St Kitts and Nevis Patriots 98:235 away on 3 September. Their previous four matches produced two wins and two losses, including a narrow home victory over Jamaica Kingsmen 171:169 on 21 August. They have scored 799 runs and conceded 913 across their last five games.
The head-to-head record shows 7 matches played, Tridents winning 3 and Kings 4. The most recent meeting on 16 August saw St Lucia Kings lose 168:177 at home to Barbados Tridents. Before that, Tridents won 191:164 at home on 7 September 2024. The Kings won at home 97:96 on 21 September 2024 and 162:149 on 22 September 2024.
The model expects Barbados Tridents to score 170.4 runs and St Lucia Kings 162.7. The draw probability sits at 0%, with run projections clustering tightly.
Tridents must post 170+. A top-order collapse in the powerplay breaks the model.