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Barbados Tridents vs St Lucia Kings: match prediction on 7 September 2026

Caribbean Premier League Kensington Oval Bridgetown Hit Match page
Barbados Tridents St Lucia Kings

Prediction for

Win: Barbados Tridents

53%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

53% 1
47% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 5 Sep, 00:06

Barbados Tridents to win. The model expects them to edge the match, backed by their win in the most recent meeting.

The Tridents sit seventh with 4 points from 6 matches, 2 wins and 4 losses. They have lost their last two games, falling to Trinbago Knight Riders 112:147 at home on 6 September. Before that they lost away to the same side 127:128. Their only win in the last five came against St Lucia Kings, 177:168 away on 16 August. They have scored 758 runs and conceded 818 across those five matches.

St Lucia Kings occupy fourth place with 8 points from 8 matches, 4 wins and 4 losses. They lost badly to St Kitts and Nevis Patriots 98:235 away on 3 September. Their previous four matches produced two wins and two losses, including a narrow home victory over Jamaica Kingsmen 171:169 on 21 August. They have scored 799 runs and conceded 913 across their last five games.

The head-to-head record shows 7 matches played, Tridents winning 3 and Kings 4. The most recent meeting on 16 August saw St Lucia Kings lose 168:177 at home to Barbados Tridents. Before that, Tridents won 191:164 at home on 7 September 2024. The Kings won at home 97:96 on 21 September 2024 and 162:149 on 22 September 2024.

The model expects Barbados Tridents to score 170.4 runs and St Lucia Kings 162.7. The draw probability sits at 0%, with run projections clustering tightly.

Tridents must post 170+. A top-order collapse in the powerplay breaks the model.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 5 Sep, 00:06
  • Барбадос Тридентс — 7. place, 4 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 losses)
  • Сент-Люсия Кингс — 4. place, 8 points after 8 games (4 wins, 4 losses)
  • Барбадос Тридентс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Сент-Люсия Кингс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 7 games, Барбадос Тридентс — 3, Сент-Люсия Кингс — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Barbados Tridents LLWWW 3 wins · 2 losses
St Lucia Kings WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 13

6Barbados Tridents 0Draw 6St Lucia Kings
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+