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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Warwickshire Women
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 5
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 10:38Warwickshire Women to win. The table gap and head-to-head record outweigh Essex's recent upturn.
Warwickshire sit fourth with 27 points from 12 matches, twice as many as Essex's 12 points at ninth. The hosts have won six and lost six, while Essex have managed only three victories in the same number of outings.
Essex have found their feet recently, taking nine points from their last five games with three wins and two losses. Warwickshire have taken only three points in that same span, winning one and losing four. The visitors are moving in the right direction while the hosts have slipped.
Five meetings between these sides over recent years show Warwickshire with the edge, three wins to Essex's two. The most recent encounter on 1 July ended 119 to 116 in Warwickshire's favour at home.
The model projects Warwickshire to post 204.1 runs and Essex 194.9, a difference of roughly nine runs.
A draw suits Essex's approach of grinding out results, and given how they manage their overs, that is the main threat to this prediction. If the match reaches a tie, Essex would have the momentum to push for extra time or a super over.