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Academia Anzoátegui vs Monagas SC: match prediction on 3 September 2026
Academia Anzoátegui
Monagas SC
Prediction for
Win: Monagas SC
38%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
37%
1
28%
X
34%
2
Average bookmaker line (44)
2.42
1
3.21
X
2.63
2
Odds range
2.50 — 3.10
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 01:49- Академия Ансоатеги — 13. place, 9 points after 13 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses)
- Монагас — 12. place, 11 points after 13 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 8 losses)
- Академия Ансоатеги, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
- Монагас, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Академия Ансоатеги — 1, 1 draws, Монагас — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Academia Anzoátegui
LWLLD
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Monagas SC
LWWWD
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 3
1Academia Anzoátegui
1Draw
1Monagas SC
- 14 MarMonagas SC — Academia Anzoátegui1:0
- 5 Oct 2025Academia Anzoátegui — Monagas SC2:2
- 26 Apr 2025Monagas SC — Academia Anzoátegui2:3
Bookmaker market
44
bookmakers counted
2.63
Average bookmaker line
2.50 — 3.10
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 01:49A Monagas SC win is predicted, but only if Academia Anzoátegui can catch Monagas late in the game.
Academia Anzoátegui have failed to win in five straight matches, collecting just 2 points from 2 draws and 3 defeats. They scored 5 goals and conceded 10 across that span, with losses to Puerto Cabello 0:3 and Estudiantes de Merida FC 0:1 among the results. The attack has been particularly blunt, while the defence has been porous.
Monagas SC have been far more productive in the same period, gathering 7 points from 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. They scored 7 goals and conceded 7, including a 3:1 Copa Venezuela victory over Bolívar and a 1:0 win against Mineros de Guayana. The form gap is 7 points versus 2.
The standings show Monagas SC sitting 12th with 11 points from 13 matches, while Academia Anzoátegui are 13th with 9 points. Both have lost 8 matches, but Monagas have 3 wins to Academia's 2 and a draw to a draw. Monagas hold the advantage.
The model expects 1.3 goals for each team, with a 26% chance of a draw and 53% probability that both teams score. The most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 12%, 0:1 at 10% and 1:0 at 9%. Monagas win edges ahead because their recent form and attacking output give them the advantage.
Academia Anzoátegui score 41% of their goals after the 76th minute, but they also concede 24% of their goals in the same period. Monagas concede 35% of their goals after the 76th minute. If Academia can time their attack correctly, they could exploit that weakness.
Monagas have no suspended players at this stage.