Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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America de Cali vs Alianza Petrolera: match prediction on 3 September 2026
America de Cali
Alianza Petrolera
Prediction for
Win: America de Cali
54%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
70%
1
20%
X
10%
2
Average bookmaker line (35)
1.30
1
4.63
X
9.43
2
Odds range
1.28 — 1.44
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 00:04- Америка де Кали — 4. place, 33 points after 19 games (10 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses)
- Альянса Петролера — 17. place, 17 points after 19 games (3 wins, 8 draws, 8 losses)
- Америка де Кали, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
- Альянса Петролера, last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Америка де Кали — 7, Альянса Петролера — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
America de Cali
DWDWW
3 wins · 2 draws
Alianza Petrolera
DLLLL
1 draw · 4 losses
Head to head 14
9America de Cali
1Draw
4Alianza Petrolera
- 28 FebAlianza Petrolera — America de Cali0:3
- 31 Aug 2025Alianza Petrolera — America de Cali1:0
- 15 Mar 2025America de Cali — Alianza Petrolera3:0
- 24 Sep 2024Alianza Petrolera — America de Cali0:1
- 10 Mar 2024America de Cali — Alianza Petrolera2:0
Bookmaker market
35
bookmakers counted
1.30
Average bookmaker line
1.28 — 1.44
Odds range
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 00:04America de Cali sit fourth with 33 points after 19 matches, while their visitors Alianza Petrolera languish seventeenth on just 17. The market has priced this as a straightforward fixture, with America de Cali to win at 1.38 odds. Unless Alianza Petrolera force a draw, and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat.
America de Cali have taken 11 points from their last five matches, winning three and drawing twice without a single defeat. They opened the scoring against Junior at home with four goals in a 4-2 victory, then ground out a 1-0 win at Atlético Nacional before securing another 1-0 away at Once Caldas. Their recent results show a tendency to control games and finish them.
Alianza Petrolera's recent form tells a different story entirely. They have failed to win any of their last five matches, collecting just one point from a draw against Deportivo Pereira while losing four times. Their 1-5 home defeat to Atlético Nacional highlights their defensive vulnerabilities, as did the away losses at Cúcuta Deportivo and the home matches against Bucaramanga and Deportes Tolima.
The head-to-head record reinforces this imbalance. America de Cali have won seven of the last nine meetings, including a 3-0 victory at home in March 2025 and a 3-0 away win in February 2026. Alianza Petrolera's only wins came in August 2025 and March 2024, but neither result suggests they can turn things around here.
America de Cali are expected to score 1.4 goals while Alianza Petrolera manage 0.7. The most likely scoreline is 1:0 at 17 per cent, followed by 0:0 and 1:1 both at 12 per cent. America de Cali score most of their goals in the 16-30 and 46-60 minute periods, while Alianza Petrolera have conceded heavily in the final 15 minutes of matches.
Odds opened at 1.38 for the home win and remain there. A prediction of an America de Cali win fails if Alianza Petrolera sit deep and force a draw, but their recent record suggests they will struggle to contain America de Cali's attack for 90 minutes.