MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
San Juan Knights
Prediction for Bulacan Kuyas — San Juan Knights
67%
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Antwerp vs St. Truiden: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Antwerp
St. Truiden
Prediction for
Win: Antwerp
39%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
39%
1
28%
X
34%
2
Average bookmaker line (47)
2.41
1
3.40
X
2.78
2
Odds range
2.20 — 2.52
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 16:47- Средняя линия 47 букмекеров: победа Антверпен 2.40, победа Ст. Трёйден 2.76, ничья 3.39
- Конторы расходятся в оценке: от 2.20 до 2.52 (15%)
- Антверпен — 5. place, 7 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Ст. Трёйден — 12. place, 2 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Антверпен, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Ст. Трёйден, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Антверпен — 5, 3 draws, Ст. Трёйден — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Antwerp
WWDLL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
St. Truiden
WLWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 13
6Antwerp
5Draw
2St. Truiden
- 28 FebAntwerp — St. Truiden1:0
- 3 Dec 2025Antwerp — St. Truiden3:3
- 2 Nov 2025St. Truiden — Antwerp1:0
- 24 Jan 2025St. Truiden — Antwerp1:1
- 11 Aug 2024Antwerp — St. Truiden6:1
Bookmaker market
47
bookmakers counted
2.41
Average bookmaker line
2.20 — 2.52
Odds range
More predictions
See all
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 16:47I see Antwerp to win at 2.40, with the market giving them a 39% chance. The bookmakers have split on this, ranging from 2.20 to 2.52 for the home side, but the consensus holds. Antwerp needed this match after a mixed run, and the fixture suits them.
Their recent form shows a side finding rhythm. They beat Kortrijk 3:0 away and Waasland-Beveren 2:1 at home, though the 4:4 draw with Genk and two friendly losses remind us they are not yet solid. The goals come late — 32% of their 28 goals arrive in the final 15 minutes, and 25% between 46 and 60 minutes. They are dangerous when games open up.
St. Truiden have drawn both league matches so far, picking up two points from two games. Their last five shows one win, two draws, two losses — five points, seven goals for, eleven against. They scored twice against Omonia in Cyprus but lost 4:2 in the return. At home they held Omonia 1:0 and drew 1:1 with Lommel. Their goals cluster differently: 36% in the final 15 minutes, 25% in the first half. They concede heavily early — 36% of their 33 goals against come between 16 and 30 minutes.
The head-to-head is not kind to the visitors. In nine meetings, St. Truiden have won just once. Antwerp won 1:0 in February and 3:3 in the cup in December. The 6:1 and 3:0 victories at home in 2024 show the gulf when Antwerp are firing. St. Truiden's solitary win came 1:0 away in November 2025. They have not won here in seven years.
St. Truiden are twelfth with two points from two, undefeated but unable to win. The model expects Antwerp to score 1.3 goals and St. Truiden 1.4, with a 26% chance of a draw and 55% both teams score. The most likely scoreline is 1:1 at 12%, followed by 0:1 and 1:0 at 9% each.
A draw suits St. Truiden — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If they can keep it tight and exploit Antwerp's defensive vulnerability in the first half, the visitors could snatch something. But Antwerp's late-game strength and home record against them make that the exception, not the pattern.