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Ararat-Armenia II vs Andranik: match prediction on 8 October 2026
Ararat-Armenia II
Andranik
Prediction for
Win: Andranik
69%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
13%
1
18%
X
69%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 25 Sep, 14:15- Арарат-Армения II — 13. place, 5 points after 7 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses)
- Андраник — 4. place, 13 points after 7 games (4 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
- Арарат-Армения II, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Андраник, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Арарат-Армения II — 1, Андраник — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Ararat-Armenia II
LDDLW
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Andranik
WDWWL
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 6
1Ararat-Armenia II
0Draw
5Andranik
- 26 Nov 2025Andranik — Ararat-Armenia II3:0
- 13 Aug 2025Ararat-Armenia II — Andranik0:1
- 15 Mar 2025Ararat-Armenia II — Andranik1:6
- 26 Aug 2024Andranik — Ararat-Armenia II4:3
- 4 Dec 2023Ararat-Armenia II — Andranik0:1
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 25 Sep, 14:15Andranik win, 69% confidence
Andranik should take all three points when they visit Ararat-Armenia II on 8 October. The visitors sit 4th with 13 points after 7 matches, while the hosts languish in 13th place with just 5 points. The gap between them is eight points, and the recent history of their meetings makes the hierarchy clear.
Andranik have taken 10 points from their last five games—three wins, one draw, one defeat. They scored 13 goals and conceded only 4 in that run. Their scoring pattern is uneven: 33% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes, another 33% in the closing stages of the first half, and they have found the net 0% of the time between the 46th and 75th minutes.
Ararat-Armenia II have managed just 5 points from their last five matches, with one win, two draws and two defeats. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 9 in that period, a ratio that reflects defensive vulnerability. Their recent results include a 3:5 home loss to Bentonit Ijevan and a 0:1 defeat away at Lernayin Artsakh FC, showing they struggle to contain opposition attacks.
The head-to-head record tells the same story. Andranik have won five of the last six meetings, while Ararat-Armenia II have claimed only one victory—a 4:3 win at home in August 2024. The most recent encounter ended 3:0 to Andranik in November 2025, and before that Ararat-Armenia II lost 1:6 at home in March 2025. The visitors have dominated this fixture consistently.
The model expects Andranik to score 2.5 goals while Ararat-Armenia II manage 1.1. The most likely scorelines are 1:2 and 1:1, both at 9%, followed by 0:2 at 8%. A draw accounts for 20% of outcomes, while both teams scoring is expected in 63% of cases. Three or more goals are projected in 69% of matches.
Andranik must score early. Their distribution shows 25% of goals conceded in the opening 15 minutes, and if Ararat-Armenia II exploit that window to take a lead, the visitors may shift to a defensive posture. A draw would suit Andranik in that scenario, and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat.