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Arsenal vs Torpedo Zhodino: match prediction on 30 August 2026

Premier League City Stadium Orsha Hit Match page
Arsenal Torpedo Zhodino

Prediction for

Win: Torpedo Zhodino

46%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

20% 1
26% X
54% 2

Average bookmaker line (18)

4.49 1
3.56 X
1.68 2

Odds range

1.64 — 1.85

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:03

Torpedo Zhodino secured a win. The hosts have lost five matches in a row, scoring just four goals while conceding 13. The visitors outscored the hosts 1.3 to 0.9 in expected goals.

Arsenal’s defence has crumbled. Over the past five matches, not a clean sheet has been recorded. Recent defeats include a 0:2 loss to Belshina and a 1:3 home setback against Slavia Mozyr. The hosts sit 11th in the table with 21 points from 19 games. They have accumulated fewer points than Torpedo, who occupy ninth place with 24 points from 18 fixtures.

Three losses mar Torpedo Zhodino’s last five outings, including a 0:4 thrashing against Dinamo Minsk. Yet they secured a 4:0 victory over Lida in the Belarus Cup.

Arsenal have not beaten Torpedo in six attempts. The most recent encounter ended in a 3:3 draw in April 2026. Prior to that, Torpedo claimed victories in April and February 2025.

0:1 is the most likely score, with a 14% probability. A 1-1 draw is the next most probable result. Both sides show a tendency to score early, with Arsenal netting 57% of their goals between the 16th and 30th minute. Torpedo share this pattern, scoring 67% of their goals in the same window.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:03
  • Арсенал — 11. place, 21 points after 19 games (5 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses)
  • Торпедо Жодино — 9. place, 24 points after 18 games (6 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses)
  • Арсенал, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Торпедо Жодино, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Арсенал — 0, 3 draws, Торпедо Жодино — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Arsenal LLLLD 1 draw · 4 losses
Torpedo Zhodino LLDWL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 10

0Arsenal 4Draw 6Torpedo Zhodino
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

18 bookmakers counted
1.68 Average bookmaker line
1.64 — 1.85 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+