BKMA II vs Bentonit Ijevan: match prediction on 1 September 2026

There is no reason to doubt BKMA II here. They sit second in the table with nine points from four matches, and their head-to-head record against Bentonit Ijevan is clear — two wins and a draw from four meetings, including a 4:1 victory last May. The model puts their expected goals at 2.5, Bentonit's at 1. Confidence sits at 69%. That figure stops holding if Bentonit find a way to dominate possession and keep the game tight until the final quarter, where they have scored every goal this season.

BKMA II's recent results show a side that can win away and at home. They beat Mika 3:1 on 14 August, then went to Ararat-Armenia II and won 2:0. Before that came a heavy 4:0 at home against Lernayin Artsakh FC. The two losses — 2:3 away to Banants II and a friendly 0:1 against Syunik — are the only blemishes. They have netted 11 goals and conceded 5 in those five outings.

Bentonit Ijevan have taken five points from their three league games and remain unbeaten, with a 7:0 win against Noah II. Their only defeat came 1:3 at home to Sardarapat in May. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 12 in five matches. The scoring distribution is extreme — 100% of their five goals have come in the 76-90 minute window, while 71% of the seven goals they have conceded have fallen in that same period.

The table positions matter. Bentonit sit seventh after three matches, but they have played one fewer fixture. That gap in games played is not trivial — while BKMA II have already navigated four different opponents, Bentonit have had less time to build rhythm through the league. Bentonit's only H2H win came 6:1 in November 2024, but that was followed by three straight defeats to BKMA II, including the 4:1 and 3:1 results.

The model's scoreline probabilities point to 2:1 as the most likely outcome at 10%, followed by 2:0 at 9% and 3:1 at 8%. Both teams to score sits at 58%, and the chance of three or more goals is 68%. Bentonit's late-game tendency works against them here — if they concede early, they have to chase, and their defensive record in the final quarter suggests they will be vulnerable. A draw suits Bentonit's approach of grinding out results, but given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If they manage to keep the score level until the 76th minute, the match could shift.

With a 69% confidence level, the prediction favors BKMA II.