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Borac Banja Luka vs Víkingur Reykjavík: match prediction on 27 August 2026

UEFA Europa Conference League Banja Luka City Stadium Banja Luka Hit Match page
Borac Banja Luka Víkingur Reykjavík

Prediction for

Win: Borac Banja Luka

47%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

47% 1
24% X
29% 2

Average bookmaker line (48)

1.97 1
3.89 X
3.26 2

Odds range

1.67 — 2.45

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 01:42

Borac Banja Luka won 3-1 against Víkingur Reykjavík in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 27 August 2026. The result confirmed the Bosnian side's superiority in the tie, mirroring the scoreline from the second leg played earlier in August. Bookmakers had priced the home victory at 1.97, a figure that remained static through the final snapshots before the match.

Scoring Pattern

Borac’s attacking profile highlights a high concentration of goals in the final stages of play. Of their 50 total goals this season, 32 percent have arrived in the 76th to 90th minute. Víkingur Reykjavík shares a similar distribution, with 26 percent of their 39 goals coming after the 75th minute, though they conceded 31 percent of their 26 goals in the same period. This suggests a fatigue factor or tactical shift near the end of games that both sides struggled to navigate.

Statistical Comparison

The match statistics reveal a disparity in control and efficiency. Víkingur averaged 58 percent possession and 121 attacks per game over a ten-match sample, compared to Borac’s 50 percent possession and 106 attacks. However, Borac outperformed their opponents in key metrics: 5.7 shots on target versus 4.5, and a 38 percent shot accuracy rate against Víkingur’s 34 percent. Víkingur created an average of 2.67 big chances per match with an expected goals total of 1.22, yet failed to convert these opportunities into a result.

Disciplinary records also differed significantly. Víkingur averaged 2.7 yellow cards per match and 0.1 red cards, while Borac recorded 1.6 yellows and zero red cards. Several Víkingur players carried suspension risks ahead of the fixture, including Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson with five bookings and Gylfi Þór Sigurðsson with four. Borac’s top scorer Luka Juričić added 13 goals to his tally over the last six months, contributing to the side’s 10 goals in their previous five matches.

Tie Context

The 3-1 victory brought the aggregate score to 6-2 for Borac Banja Luka. The two teams had met previously on 20 August 2026, when Borac won 3-1 away in Iceland, and on 7 November 2024, when Víkingur won 2-0 at home. In two recent Conference League encounters, Borac had won one and lost one. The result secured Borac’s progression, ending the Icelandic side’s hopes of advancement from this phase of the competition.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 01:42
  • Средняя линия 48 букмекеров: победа Борац Баня-Лука 1.97, победа Викингур Рейкьявик 3.26, ничья 3.89
  • Конторы расходятся в оценке: от 1.67 до 2.45 (47%)
  • Последние 5 матчей Борац Баня-Лука: 4 побед, 0 ничьих, 1 поражений
  • Последние 5 матчей Викингур Рейкьявик: 3 побед, 1 ничьих, 1 поражений
  • Очные встречи за последние годы: сыграно 2, побед Борац Баня-Лука — 1, ничьих 0, побед Викингур Рейкьявик — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Borac Banja Luka WWDWL 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Víkingur Reykjavík LWLDD 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 2

1Borac Banja Luka 0Draw 1Víkingur Reykjavík
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

48 bookmakers counted
1.97 Average bookmaker line
1.67 — 2.45 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+