Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Claypole
Sacachispas
Prediction for
Win: Sacachispas
42%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 1
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 19:13The result confirmed the form gap between the league leaders and the side in mid-table. Before the kick-off, the model predicted a narrow Sacachispas win with a 16 per cent probability for a 0:1 scoreline, a scenario that appeared plausible given the visitors' recent defensive solidity.
Sacachispas averaged 3.6 shots on target per match over their last ten games compared to Claypole's 2.5, yet their shot accuracy was lower at 33 per cent versus 58 per cent. Despite this, Sacachispas scored 29 goals in that period while conceding 21, whereas Claypole scored 18 and conceded 34.
Form guides offered little hope for a Claypole upset. The home side had collected just four points from their previous five matches, suffering three defeats including a 0:1 loss to Central Ballester at home. The visitors scored in every match during that sequence, with top scorer L. Rios contributing four goals in the last six months, while Claypole's leading marksman, L. Llodra, had five.
The outcome leaves Sacachispas at the summit of the Primera C table with 46 points from 27 matches. Claypole's position at 13th place with 26 points remains precarious.