Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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DC United vs Los Angeles FC: match prediction on 30 August 2026
DC United
Los Angeles FC
Prediction for
Win: Los Angeles FC
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
25%
1
25%
X
49%
2
Average bookmaker line (41)
3.66
1
3.67
X
1.90
2
Odds range
1.73 — 2.07
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 00:34- ДК Юнайтед — 11. place, 24 points after 21 games (5 wins, 9 draws, 7 losses)
- Лос-Анджелес — 3. place, 35 points after 22 games (10 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses)
- ДК Юнайтед, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Лос-Анджелес, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, ДК Юнайтед — 1, Лос-Анджелес — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
DC United
DLLDW
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Los Angeles FC
LDDDW
1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss
Head to head 2
1DC United
0Draw
1Los Angeles FC
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
41
bookmakers counted
1.90
Average bookmaker line
1.73 — 2.07
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 00:34Los Angeles FC sit three places above DC United in the table with 35 points from 22 matches compared to the hosts' 24 from 21, and the model gives them 1.7 expected goals against 1.1 for the hosts. That gap in league position is the clearest signal, even if recent form has been identical for both sides.
Both teams have collected five points from their last five matches, but the quality of opposition and the nature of their results differ. DC United lost 0:3 at home to New England Revolution on 19 August and dropped points in two draws, while Los Angeles FC FC's only win came against Toluca in the Leagues Cup on 9 August. The visitors have been tighter defensively, conceding just four goals in that period compared to DC United's ten, which suggests a more disciplined approach away from home.
The head-to-head record is limited but not encouraging for the hosts. DC United won a friendly 2:1 in February 2023, but their only competitive meeting ended 1:0 to Los Angeles FC FC in August 2022. The visitors have shown they can control matches against this side when it matters, and their higher league position reflects that consistency over a longer season.
DC United's scoring pattern is worth noting. They put 46% of their 37 goals into the final 15 minutes of matches, while Los Angeles FC FC have 35% in that window. Los Angeles do concede most of their goals in the opening 15 minutes (18%), which could work against them if DC United start sharp.
The model's most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 11%, 0:1 at 11%, and 1:2 at 10%. The draw probability sits at 24%, which is not insignificant, but the expected goals favour the visitors. A Los Angeles FC win holds if they avoid the early goals they tend to concede and finish their chances against a side that struggles to keep clean sheets away from home.
DC United's late-game threat is real, and with 54% probability that both teams score, a match that looks settled could turn in the final quarter. The hosts have drawn half their matches this season, and they know how to grind out results when they need to.
The visitors' league position, their defensive record in the last five matches, and the model's expected goals all point that way.