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Deportes Limache vs Everton de Vina: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Primera División Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza Limache Miss Match page
Deportes Limache Everton de Vina

Prediction for

Win: Deportes Limache

49%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

41% 1
26% X
33% 2

Average bookmaker line (41)

2.23 1
3.53 X
2.75 2

Odds range

2.15 — 2.35

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 00:13

Limache fancied at home on Saturday evening. The model gives 49% confidence for a home win, driven by the hosts’ higher expected goal average of 1.8 compared to Everton’s 1.3.

Everton de Vina occupy sixth place with 30 points from 20 matches, while Deportes Limache trail in seventh with 27 points from 19 games. The form guide shows a split: Everton have taken 8 points from their last five outings, securing two wins and two draws. Limache have been more volatile, winning two and losing three of their recent five games.

Head-to-head records offer a mixed picture for the visitors. Over the last five meetings, Everton hold a slight edge with two wins to Limache’s one, while two matches ended in draws. Everton claimed a narrow 1-0 victory in June, but Deportes Limache responded with a 2-1 win at the same venue in March. The recent history suggests a tight contest where the home advantage could be the deciding factor.

The most probable scores are 1:1 and 2:1, with the latter carrying a 9% probability. A key tactical mismatch lies in the timing of goals. Everton de Vina show a sharp start, accounting for 28% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes. Deportes Limache leak 37% of their conceded goals in the final 15 minutes of matches. If the hosts can survive the early pressure, their attacking output should tell. Both teams are also managing disciplinary risks, with Jean David Meneses Villarroel for Limache and Nicolás Montiel for Everton one booking away from suspension.

Deportes Limache must manage their defensive shape after the hour mark. Conceding heavily in the closing stages remains a problem for the hosts. If Everton capitalise on that fatigue with an early lead, the home advantage evaporates, and the away side’s 28% goal rate in the opening quarter becomes the decisive factor, turning the expected home victory into a draw or a visitor win.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 00:13
  • Депортес Лимахе — 7. place, 27 points after 19 games (8 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses)
  • Эвертон де Винья — 6. place, 30 points after 20 games (8 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses)
  • Депортес Лимахе, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Эвертон де Винья, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 5 games, Депортес Лимахе — 1, 2 draws, Эвертон де Винья — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Deportes Limache LWLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Everton de Vina WDWWL 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 5

1Deportes Limache 2Draw 2Everton de Vina
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

41 bookmakers counted
2.23 Average bookmaker line
2.15 — 2.35 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+