Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Deportivo Capiatá vs 3 de Noviembre: match prediction on 3 September 2026
Deportivo Capiatá
3 de Noviembre
Prediction for
Win: Deportivo Capiatá
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
40%
1
29%
X
30%
2
Average bookmaker line (44)
2.22
1
3.09
X
2.95
2
Odds range
2.10 — 2.70
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 20:44- Депортиво Капьята — 10. place, 24 points after 21 games (5 wins, 9 draws, 7 losses)
- 3 ноября — 15. place, 16 points after 21 games (3 wins, 7 draws, 11 losses)
- Депортиво Капьята, last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
- 3 ноября, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Депортиво Капьята — 0, 1 draws, 3 ноября — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Deportivo Capiatá
LDLWL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
3 de Noviembre
WWWLW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 1
0Deportivo Capiatá
1Draw
03 de Noviembre
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
44
bookmakers counted
2.22
Average bookmaker line
2.10 — 2.70
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 20:44The line has Deportivo Capiatá at 2.380 across 43 bookmakers and I see no reason to doubt that price. The market puts the home win at 38% and my estimate sits at 50% — a twelve-point gap in our favour. At 2.380 the price carries value.
The gap between them matters less than what each side has been doing lately. Capiatá have taken one point from their last five — a 0:0 draw against Guairena FC and four defeats, including a 1:4 loss at home to Sol de América. 3 de Noviembre have collected nine points in the same period, winning three of five, most recently a 5:2 victory over Independiente F.b.c. at home.
The head-to-head tells a quiet story. They met once this season on 14 May, and the result was 0:0. Neither side scored. That stalemate suggests neither can impose themselves on the other, but it also tells us nothing about who will break the deadlock today. What the match model does tell us is clearer. Deportivo Capiatá are expected to score 1.6 goals, 3 de Noviembre 1.0. The draw probability sits at 25%, both teams to score at 50%, and three or more goals at 47%. The most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 12%, 1:0 at 12%, and 2:1 at 9%.
Deportivo Capiatá have scored 61% of their goals in the second half, with 33% arriving between the 76th and 90th minute. They have also conceded 72% of their goals in the second half, though 29% of those came between the 46th and 60th minute. 3 de Noviembre concede 68% of their goals after the break, with 29% in the final quarter of an hour. The visitors have been vulnerable late. Capiatá have been dangerous late. That overlap is where this match could turn.
If 3 de Noviembre can keep the game tight and push for a late equaliser, the home side's advantage evaporates. The prediction does not hold if the visitors manage to contain the hosts through the first hour and force a cagey affair. But if Deportivo Capiatá score early and force 3 de Noviembre to chase, the visitors' defensive frailties in the closing stages will show. At 2.380 the edge is real, but it is not a guarantee.