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Fakel Voronezh vs Krasnodar: match prediction on 1 September 2026

Cup Fakel Voronezh Miss Match page
Fakel Voronezh Krasnodar

Prediction for

Win: Krasnodar

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

20% 1
25% X
55% 2

Average bookmaker line (20)

4.51 1
3.72 X
1.69 2

Odds range

1.63 — 1.77

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 30 Aug, 16:33

Krasnodar are unbeaten in their last five matches, keeping a clean sheet in four of them, while Fakel Voronezh have scored just once in that same run.

Fakel Voronezh have not won any of their last five games. They drew twice and lost three times, picking up only 2 points and scoring a single goal across those fixtures. Their most recent result was a 0:1 defeat at home to Zenit Saint Petersburg on 29 August. Before that came a goalless draw with Orenburg and a 1:2 Cup loss away to Akhmat Grozny. They have not found the net in three of those five matches.

Krasnodar have done the opposite. Five wins from five, 15 points, and they have conceded just one goal in the entire sequence. Their last match was a 1:0 home win over FC Rostov on 29 August. They followed that with 1:0 victories away to Makhachkala and Dinamo Moscow, then a 1:0 home win against Akhmat Grozny. The only game where they conceded was a 2:1 away win at Spartak Moscow on 9 August.

Head-to-head records do not favour the hosts. In six meetings over recent years, Krasnodar have won four and drawn two, with no losses. The most recent encounter on 2 August ended 3:2 to Krasnodar at their own ground. Before that, a 5:0 victory came on 30 March 2025. Two home matches for Fakel produced goalless draws in August 2024 and August 2023, while a 3:3 draw occurred on 5 November 2022.

The bookies have Krasnodar favourites. The most likely scoreline is 0:1 at 16%, followed by 1:1 at 12% and 0:2 at 11%. A draw is valued at 27%, both teams scoring at 41%, and three or more goals at 38%. Fakel have scored half their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, while Krasnodar have conceded 38% of theirs in that same period. Krasnodar have scored 24% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes.

The hosts have netted 50% of their 10 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, while Krasnodar have allowed 38% of their 13 conceded goals in that window. A late equaliser would shift the clean-sheet probability significantly.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 30 Aug, 16:33
  • Факел Воронеж, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
  • Краснодар, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Факел Воронеж — 0, 3 draws, Краснодар — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Fakel Voronezh LDLDL 2 draws · 3 losses
Krasnodar WWWDD 3 wins · 2 draws

Head to head 7

0Fakel Voronezh 4Draw 3Krasnodar
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

20 bookmakers counted
1.69 Average bookmaker line
1.63 — 1.77 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+