Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Fortaleza FC
Once Caldas
Prediction for
Win: Once Caldas
37%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
27%
1
29%
X
44%
2
Average bookmaker line (20)
3.41
1
3.15
X
2.10
2
Odds range
2.04 — 2.69
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 02:13- Фортуалеза — 15. place, 22 points after 19 games (5 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses)
- Онсе Кальдас — 5. place, 33 points after 19 games (8 wins, 9 draws, 2 losses)
- Фортуалеза, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Онсе Кальдас, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Фортуалеза — 5, Онсе Кальдас — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Fortaleza FC
LDLDW
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Once Caldas
DDWLW
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Head to head 7
5Fortaleza FC
0Draw
2Once Caldas
- 21 FebOnce Caldas — Fortaleza FC4:2
- 20 Jul 2025Fortaleza FC — Once Caldas2:1
- 1 Feb 2025Once Caldas — Fortaleza FC2:1
- 2 Nov 2024Once Caldas — Fortaleza FC0:2
- 26 Apr 2024Once Caldas — Fortaleza FC0:1
Bookmaker market
20
bookmakers counted
2.10
Average bookmaker line
2.04 — 2.69
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 02:13I see a draw as the most likely outcome here. The model gives both sides 1.1 expected goals, the draw probability sits at 29%, and the head-to-head record shows Fortaleza with five wins against two for Once Caldas — a balance that suggests neither side will dominate. The three most probable scorelines are 1:1, 0:1 and 1:0, all pointing toward a tight contest. This conclusion stops holding if Once Caldas, chasing European qualification, decides to attack early and exposes themselves to counter-attacks.
Once Caldas sit fifth with 33 points from 19 matches, eight wins, nine draws and two losses. Fortaleza are 15th with 22 points, five wins, seven draws and seven defeats. The gap between them is 11 points, but the form in recent weeks tells a different story. Both sides have struggled to string together results, and neither has looked particularly dangerous in front of goal.
Fortaleza's last five games produced one win, two draws and two losses — five points from a possible 15. They beat Cúcuta Deportivo 2:0 at home but lost 1:2 to Atlético Nacional and 3:1 away to Llaneros. Once Caldas managed one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five, picking up six points. They beat Envigado 3:0 in the Copa Colombia but drew 1:1 with Junior and Jaguares away from home.
The head-to-head record over recent years gives Fortaleza the edge. In seven meetings they have won five times while Once Caldas have taken two victories, but before that Fortaleza won 2:1 at home in July 2025 and 2:0 in April 2024. The pattern suggests matches between these sides tend to produce goals but rarely end in one-sided fashion.
The model expects both sides to score in 44% of cases and sees a 37% chance of three or more goals. Fortaleza score heavily in the final 15 minutes — 33% of their 24 goals come after the 75th minute — while Once Caldas have conceded 28% of their 32 goals in the same period. A draw suits both parties: Fortaleza avoid dropping further down the table, Once Caldas protect their position without risking everything.