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Hvidovre vs FC Fredericia: match prediction on 30 August 2026

1st Division Hvidovre Stadion Hvidovre Miss Match page
Hvidovre FC Fredericia

Prediction for

Win: FC Fredericia

40%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

32% 1
28% X
40% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:03

Hvidovre host FC Fredericia in a tight contest where the points are likely to be shared. The model’s most probable scoreline is 1:1, and the league table suggests a match between two sides with similar ambitions. Hvidovre sit third with 11 points after five games, while Fredericia are fourth on 9 points. Both teams remain unbeaten, but the hosts have pulled slightly ahead in the standings.

Hvidovre’s recent run includes three wins, one draw, and one defeat, with their home record showing two victories against HB Køge and Esbjerg. Fredericia have won twice and drawn twice in their last five, including a heavy away victory at SfB-Oure and a clean sheet against Aarhus Fremad at home. The visitors have scored 11 goals in that span, compared to Hvidovre’s 6, but their home form has been less decisive, with two draws and a loss to Odense.

The head-to-head record favours Hvidovre with four wins in six meetings, though Fredericia’s 5:1 victory in May 2025 was a notable exception. Before that, Hvidovre secured a 1:0 win and a 0:0 draw at home. The recent history shows a pattern of close encounters, with only one match producing more than two goals.

Hvidovre’s defensive vulnerabilities appear in the final 30 minutes, where they have conceded 43% of their goals, often between the 61st and 75th minute. Fredericia are more prone to letting in goals late in the game, with 27% of their concessions coming after the 76th minute. The model expects Hvidovre to score 1.1 goals and Fredericia 1.3, with a 28% chance of a draw. The likelihood of both teams scoring is 48%, indicating an open game despite the tight standings.

A draw is the most logical outcome, but it depends on Fredericia maintaining their defensive shape away from home. If Hvidovre capitalise on their late-game pressure, they could secure all three points. Conversely, if Fredericia exploit their own attacking patterns, they might take the lead and hold on. The match will be decided by which side can manage the final quarter of the game more effectively.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:03
  • Хвидовре — 3. place, 11 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Фредерисия — 4. place, 9 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
  • Хвидовре, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
  • Фредерисия, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Хвидовре — 4, 1 draws, Фредерисия — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Hvidovre WWDWW 4 wins · 1 draw
FC Fredericia WDLLW 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 13

8Hvidovre 1Draw 4FC Fredericia
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+