Kayserispor vs Bursaspor: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Bursaspor claim victory with stoppage-time winner

Bursaspor defeated Kayserispor 2-1 in the 1. Lig on 29 August 2026. Kayserispor, who began the season unbeaten, dropped points after failing to hold their lead in the closing stages.

Before the match, Kayserispor sat top of the table with 9 points from 3 games, while Bursaspor occupied 7th place on 6 points. The home side had won their opening two fixtures and drawn none. The visitors had lost their previous away game to Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 and had only one defeat in their last five matches. Kayserispor were the only side with a perfect start to the season.

According to the pre-match model, the expected goals for both teams were calculated at 1.1. The actual outcome contradicted the prediction regarding the host side, though the 1-1 scoreline was identified as the most likely result at 13% probability. Both teams scored, although the model had estimated this at 45%.

The statistical comparison for the last 10 matches showed Kayserispor averaging 5.1 shots on target compared to Bursaspor's 3.75. Kayserispor possessed the ball 51% of the time, while Bursaspor held 54%. Bursaspor completed more attacks (111.7 versus 87.7) but Kayserispor generated more shots. In terms of scoring patterns, Kayserispor had scored 31% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of games this season, a trend that aligned with the late winner in this fixture.

The result leaves Kayserispor with 9 points and Bursaspor with 9 points, equalising their records after three rounds.