Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
Read more
León FC vs FC Juarez: match prediction on 28 September 2026
León FC
FC Juarez
Prediction for
Win: León FC
49%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
60%
1
23%
X
17%
2
Average bookmaker line (48)
1.54
1
4.05
X
5.44
2
Odds range
1.49 — 1.65
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 27 Sep, 02:15- Леон — 7. place, 14 points after 9 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
- Хуарес — 18. place, 3 points after 9 games (1 wins, 8 losses)
- Леон, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Хуарес, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Леон — 4, 2 draws, Хуарес — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
León FC
WLWDW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
FC Juarez
LLLWL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 12
7León FC
3Draw
2FC Juarez
- 19 AprLeón FC — FC Juarez3:1
- 27 Sep 2025FC Juarez — León FC2:0
- 25 Jan 2025León FC — FC Juarez1:0
- 20 Oct 2024FC Juarez — León FC2:3
- 28 Apr 2024FC Juarez — León FC1:1
Bookmaker market
48
bookmakers counted
1.54
Average bookmaker line
1.49 — 1.65
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Sep, 02:15León FC are 1.54 favourites at home against a FC Juarez side that has managed just one victory in nine matches. The 60% market probability for a home win reflects a seven-point gap in the table and a head-to-head record where León have won four of seven meetings. The model expects León to score 1.8 goals to Juarez's 1.2, with the most likely outcome a 2:1 victory.
León FC sit seventh with 14 points from 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Their last five matches produced 2 victories, 1 draw and 2 losses, yielding 7 points and a goal difference of 5:6. They beat Atletico San Luis 2:0 at home and Club América 1:0 in the Leagues Cup, but lost 1:3 away to Pumas and 0:2 away to Toluca. The pattern shows inconsistency rather than momentum.
FC Juarez occupy eighteenth place with 3 points from a single win and 8 defeats. Their last five matches brought 1 victory and 4 losses for 3 points and a 4:10 goal difference. The only win came 2:0 against Tigres UANL at home. They lost 1:2 away to Santos Laguna, 0:2 at home to Pachuca, 0:4 away to Toluca and 1:2 at home to Club América. Eight defeats in nine games leaves little margin for error.
Over seven meetings the record favours León FC: 4 wins, 2 draws, 1 victory for FC Juarez. The most recent encounter ended 3:1 to León on 19 April 2026. Juarez won 2:0 at home in September 2025, while León claimed 1:0 at home in January 2025.
The model projects León FC 1.8 expected goals and FC Juarez 1.2, with a 26% probability of a draw and 60% both teams scoring. Three likely scorelines emerge: 1:1 at 12%, 2:1 at 10%, and 2:0 at 8%. Fifty-eight percent of simulations include three or more goals. Juarez concede 23% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, while León score 27% of theirs in the same period.
A draw suits FC Juarez given their tendency to run the clock down in difficult fixtures. If they survive the opening half without conceding, the 26% draw probability becomes the primary threat to a home victory. The model's 1.8 expected goals for León FC assumes full strength and normal conditions — any disruption to their attacking structure shifts the estimate downward.