Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
Read more
Libertad Asunción vs Olimpia: match prediction on 28 September 2026
Libertad Asunción
Olimpia
Prediction for
Slight edge: Olimpia
40%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
31%
1
29%
X
40%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 27 Sep, 23:15- Либретад Асунсьон — 3. place, 6 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
- Олимпия — 7. place, 3 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 losses)
- Либретад Асунсьон, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Олимпия, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 17 games, Либретад Асунсьон — 8, 4 draws, Олимпия — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Libertad Asunción
WWDDL
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Olimpia
DWWWW
4 wins · 1 draw
Head to head 27
14Libertad Asunción
6Draw
7Olimpia
- 26 JulOlimpia — Libertad Asunción0:1
- 26 AprLibertad Asunción — Olimpia3:2
- 25 FebOlimpia — Libertad Asunción1:0
- 1 Nov 2025Libertad Asunción — Olimpia2:2
- 17 Aug 2025Olimpia — Libertad Asunción0:0
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Sep, 23:15Libertad Asunción hold Olympía after late comeback
Pundits tipped a tight contest, with an expected goal tally of 1.2 for the hosts and 1.3 for the visitors.
Form contrast defined the opening
Before the match, Olympía were in strong form, having won four of their last five outings across all competitions. They had scored 11 goals and conceded just three during that run, including a 3-0 away victory over Club Sp. San Lorenzo and a 3-0 home win against Sportivo Luqueño. Libertad Asunción, by comparison, had mixed results in their last five games, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss. Their most recent fixture was a 1-1 draw away to Fernando de la Mora in the Copa Paraguay on 23 September.
Statistical shifts revealed in possession
Libertad averaged 58 per cent possession over their last ten matches, compared to Olympía’s 49 per cent. The hosts also recorded more attacks per match, averaging 123.5, while Olympía averaged 83.9. In terms of shooting, Libertad averaged 5.2 shots on target per game, slightly ahead of Olympía’s 5.0.
Implications for the standings
Historically, these two sides have been evenly matched, with 17 meetings yielding eight wins for Libertad, four draws, and five for Olympía. The most recent head-to-head saw Olympía lose 1-0 at home on 26 July 2026.