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Mladost Lješkopolje vs Lovćen: match prediction on 6 October 2026

Second League DG Arena Podgorica Pending Match page
Mladost Lješkopolje Lovćen

Prediction for

Slight edge: Mladost Lješkopolje

45%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

45% 1
28% X
27% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 4 Oct, 14:05

Mladost Lješkopolje have not lost in nine matches, sit four points clear at the top, and have won five of the last six meetings against Lovćen. The model expects 1.5 goals for the home side against 1.1 for the visitors, and the most likely scoreline is 1:1 at 14 per cent, but a narrow home victory remains the most probable single outcome.

Mladost Lješkopolje leads with 17 points after nine games, drawing five and winning four without a single defeat. Lovćen occupy fifth place with 13 points, having lost four times already. That four-point gap creates different pressures: the home side can afford to control proceedings, while Lovćen must either chase or risk falling further behind.

Mladost Lješkopolje collected nine points from their last five matches, winning twice and drawing three times, scoring ten goals while conceding eight. Lovćen earned seven points from the same period, also winning twice but losing twice and drawing once, with seven goals scored and seven conceded. The visitors have been less consistent away from home, losing at Zeta and drawing at Grbalj in their last two trips.

Over thirteen meetings, Mladost Lješkopolje have won nine times, Lovćen once, with three draws. The last six encounters show five victories for the home side and one for the visitors, including a 3:0 win at Lovćen's ground in August 2026 and a 2:1 victory in April 2026. The most recent meeting ended 3:0 to Mladost Lješkopolje away from home, but they did not concede either.

A draw carries 29 per cent probability, both teams to score sits at 52 per cent, and three or more goals total at 47 per cent. The three most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 14 per cent, 1:0 at 10 per cent, and 0:0 at 9 per cent. Mladost Lješkopolje score heavily in the 31-45 minute period at 41 per cent of their goals, while Lovćen concede a third of their goals in the same window.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 4 Oct, 14:05
  • Младост Лешкополье — 1. place, 17 points after 9 games (4 wins, 5 draws, 0 losses)
  • Ловчен — 5. place, 13 points after 9 games (4 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses)
  • Младост Лешкополье, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
  • Ловчен, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 13 games, Младост Лешкополье — 9, 3 draws, Ловчен — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Mladost Lješkopolje DDWWD 2 wins · 3 draws
Lovćen DLWLW 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 13

9Mladost Lješkopolje 3Draw 1Lovćen
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+