Niroye Zamini vs Fard Alborz: match prediction on 21 September 2026

The model favours a draw at 38%. The odds reflect that uncertainty — the bookmakers have Niroye Zamini at 2.50, Fard Alborz at 2.82, and the stalemate at 2.74.

Niroye Zamini started the campaign with a 1-0 away win against Novin Ahvaz, but their recent form tells a different story. Over the previous five matches they managed just one victory and one draw, scoring twice and conceding seven. Their attacking rhythm has been erratic — 60% of their goals came in the first half, yet they failed to find the net between the 16th and 60th minutes across that period. Fard Alborz, meanwhile, began with a 1-1 home draw against Mes Kerman and have been more consistent. Two wins and two draws in their last five, with five goals scored and only three conceded. They distribute their scoring more evenly, with 29% arriving in the final 15 minutes.

The head-to-head record cuts in Fard Alborz's favour. They won both meetings this season — a 2-0 victory away from home and a 1-0 win at their own ground. Niroye Zamini have not secured a point against them in either fixture. The model's expected goals are identical at 0.7. The historical edge belongs to the visitors, and the odds reflect that slight advantage.

The line has been remarkably static. The line has been static: 2.50 home, 2.82 away. The draw moved from 2.73 to 2.74, a shift of 0.2%. The market is pricing this as a coin-flip situation, with the margin removed giving 36% for the hosts, 33% for the draw, and 32% for the visitors. Those percentages are close enough to suggest neither side has a decisive edge.

If Niroye Zamini carry that intensity into the first half against a Fard Alborz side that concedes 14% of its goals in the same period, the balance shifts. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 25%, followed by 1-0 to the hosts at 18% and 0-1 to the visitors at 17%. The draw is the safest read, but an early goal changes everything.