Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Ravshan Kulob vs Parvoz: match prediction on 8 September 2026
Ravshan Kulob
Parvoz
Prediction for
Win: Ravshan Kulob
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
57%
1
25%
X
19%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 14:01- Равшан Куляб — 6. place, 19 points after 15 games (5 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses)
- Парвоз — 10. place, 12 points after 15 games (3 wins, 3 draws, 9 losses)
- Равшан Куляб, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Парвоз, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Равшан Куляб — 1, Парвоз — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Ravshan Kulob
LDLDL
2 draws · 3 losses
Parvoz
DLLLW
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Head to head 1
1Ravshan Kulob
0Draw
0Parvoz
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Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 14:01Ravshan Kulob to win. The hosts carry a 7-point advantage over Parvoz in the table and won the only previous meeting 1:0, while the model expects them to score 1.6 goals compared to Parvoz's 0.8. Confidence: 62%.
Ravshan Kulob have struggled to string results together. Their last five matches produced one win, two draws and two losses, yielding just five points from a possible fifteen. They beat Khatlon 2:0 at home on 13 June but followed that with home defeats to Istiqlol and Regar-TadAZ, plus two away draws against Eskhata and Barki Tajik. The pattern shows a side that can score but finds it hard to protect leads.
Parvoz's form is worse. One win, one draw and three losses in their last five games gave them four points. The 0:4 home loss to Istiqlol on 30 August and the 0:3 away defeat at Regar-TadAZ on 18 August highlight defensive fragility. They did beat CSKA Pomir 2:1 away on 12 June and drew 1:1 with Istaravshan on 26 June, but those are the only bright spots in a campaign that has seen them concede 13 goals in five matches.
The head-to-head record is brief but telling. The two sides met once this season on 17 April at Parvoz's ground, and Ravshan Kulob took all three points with a 1:0 victory. That result sits alongside the 7-point gap in the standings, where Ravshan Kulob occupy sixth place and Parvoz sit tenth.
The projection backs a narrow home win. The most likely scoreline is 1:0 at 14%, followed by 1:1 at 12% and 2:0 at 11%. A draw carries 25% probability and both teams scoring 46%. Parvoz's goal distribution is uneven — 67% of their three goals have come in the 31-45 minute period, with the remainder in the final 15 minutes. They have also conceded 38% of their 13 goals in each of the 61-75 and 76-90 minute windows.
This conclusion stops holding if Parvoz can exploit their late-game scoring habit and catch Ravshan Kulob on the break. The visitors have conceded heavily in the final quarter of the match, but they also score there, and a quick counter-attack could change the dynamic.